The momentum effect in competitions : field evidence from tennis matches


Autoria(s): Page, Lionel
Data(s)

10/07/2009

Resumo

It is often suggested that there is a psychological advantage to be leading in a competition. It is, however, hard to identify such an effect econometrically. Using a Regression Discontinuity Design over a large dataset of tennis matches (N=634,095) the present paper exploits the randomised variation in first set results that occurs when the first set is decided by a close tie break (N=72,294). I find that winning the first set has a significant and strong effect on the result of the second set. A player who wins a close first set tie break will, on average, win one game more in the second set. I discuss the likely economic and psychological explanations of this phenomenon.

Identificador

http://eprints.qut.edu.au/59798/

Relação

https://editorialexpress.com/cgi-bin/conference/download.cgi?db_name=ESAM09&paper_id=329

Page, Lionel (2009) The momentum effect in competitions : field evidence from tennis matches. In Econometric Society Australasian Meeting in 2009 (ESAM09), 7-10 July 2010, The Australian National University, Canberra, ACT. (Unpublished)

Fonte

QUT Business School; School of Economics & Finance

Palavras-Chave #140299 Applied Economics not elsewhere classified #Sport
Tipo

Conference Paper