Detecting common dynamics in transitory components


Autoria(s): Christensen, Timothy; Hurn, Stan; Pagan, Adrian
Data(s)

2011

Resumo

This paper considers VECMs for variables exhibiting cointegration and common features in the transitory components. While the presence of cointegration between the permanent components of series reduces the rank of the long-run multiplier matrix, a common feature among the transitory components leads to a rank reduction in the matrix summarizing short-run dynamics. The common feature also implies that there exists linear combinations of the first-differenced variables in a cointegrated VAR that are white noise and traditional tests focus on testing for this characteristic. An alternative, however, is to test the rank of the short-run dynamics matrix directly. Consequently, we use the literature on testing the rank of a matrix to produce some alternative test statistics. We also show that these are identical to one of the traditional tests. The performance of the different methods is illustrated in a Monte Carlo analysis which is then used to re-examine an existing empirical study. Finally, this approach is applied to provide a check for the presence of common dynamics in DSGE models.

Formato

application/pdf

Identificador

http://eprints.qut.edu.au/52186/

Publicador

Walter de Gruyter GmbH and Co. KG

Relação

http://eprints.qut.edu.au/52186/1/52186.pdf

DOI:10.2202/1941-1928.1088

Christensen, Timothy, Hurn, Stan, & Pagan, Adrian (2011) Detecting common dynamics in transitory components. Journal of Time Series Econometrics, 3(1), pp. 1-26.

Direitos

Copyright 2011 Walter de Gruyter

The final publication is available at www.degruyter.com

Fonte

QUT Business School; School of Economics & Finance

Palavras-Chave #140212 Macroeconomics (incl. Monetary and Fiscal Theory) #140302 Econometric and Statistical Methods #140305 Time-Series Analysis #transitory components, common features, reduced rank, cointegration
Tipo

Journal Article