Suplementação com gordura protegida na infecção por nematódeos gastrintestinais em ovelhas Santa Inês

Pós-graduação em Ciência Animal - FMVA

An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the Agriculture, Energy and Health sectors in Trinidad and Tobago

This report analyses the agriculture, energy, and health sectors in Trinidad and Tobago to assess the potential economic impacts of climate change on the sectors. The fundamental aim of this report is to assist with the development of strategies to deal with the potential impact of climate change on Trinidad and Tobago. It also has the potential to provide essential input for identifying and preparing policies and strategies to help advance the Caribbean subregion closer to solving problems associated with climate change and attaining individual and regional sustainable development goals. Some of the key anticipated impacts of climate change for the Caribbean include elevated air and sea-surface temperatures, sea-level rise, possible changes in extreme events and a reduction in freshwater resources. The economic impact of climate change on the three sectors was estimated for the A2 and B2 IPCC scenarios until 2050. An exploration of various adaptation strategies was also undertaken for each sector using standard evaluation techniques. The study of the impact of climate change on the agriculture sector focused on root crops, green vegetables and fisheries. For these sectors combined, the cumulative loss under the A2 scenario is calculated as approximately B$2.24 and approximately B$1.72 under the B2 scenario by 2050. This is equivalent to 1.37% and 1.05% of the 2008 GDP under the A2 and B2 scenarios, respectively. Given the potential for significant damage to the agriculture sector a large number of potential adaptation measures were considered. Out of these a short-list of 10 potential options were selected by applying 10 evaluation criteria. All of the adaptation strategies showed positive benefits. The analysis indicate that the options with the highest net benefits are: (1) Building on-farm water storage, (2) Mainstreaming climate change issues into agricultural management and (3) Using drip irrigation. Other attractive options include water harvesting. The policy decisions by governments should include these assessments, the omitted intangible benefits, as well as the provision of other social goals such as employment. The analysis of the energy sector has shown that the economic impact of climate change during 2011-2050 is similar under the A2 (US$142.88 million) and B2 (US$134.83 million) scenarios with A2 scenario having a slightly higher cost (0.737% of 2009 GDP) than the B2 scenario (0.695% of 2009 GDP) for the period. On the supply side, analyses indicate that Trinidad and Tobago’s energy sector will be susceptible to the climate change policies of major energy-importing countries (the United States of America and China), and especially to their renewable energy strategies. Implementation of foreign oil substitution policy by the United States of America will result in a decline in Trinidad and Tobago’s Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) export (equivalent to 2.2% reduction in 2009 GDP) unless an alternative market is secured for the lost United States of America market. China, with its rapid economic growth and the highest population in the world, offers a potential replacement market for Trinidad and Tobago’s LNG export. In this context the A2 scenario will offer the best option for Trinidad and Tobago’s energy sector. The cost-benefit analysis undertaken on selected adaptation strategies reveal that the benefit-cost ratio of replacing electric water heaters with solar water heaters is the most cost-effective. It was also found that the introduction of Compact Fluorescent Light (CFL) and Variable Refrigerant Volume (VRV) air conditioners surpasses the projected cost of increased electricity consumption due to climate change, and provides an economic rationale for the adoption of these adaptation options even in a situation of increased electricity consumption occasioned by climate change. Finally, the conversion of motor fleets to Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) is a cost-effective adaptation option for the transport sector, although it has a high initial cost of implementation and the highest per capita among the four adaptation options evaluated. To investigate the effect of climate change on the health sector dengue fever, leptospirosis, food borne illnesses, and gastroenteritis were examined. The total number of new dengue cases for the period 2008 to 2050 was 204,786 for BAU, 153,725 for A2 and 131,890 for the B2 scenario. With regard to the results for leptospirosis, A2 and B2 seem to be following a similar path with total number of new cases in the A2 scenario being 9,727 and 9,218 cases under the B2 scenario. Although incidence levels in the BAU scenario coincided with those of A2 and B2 prior to 2020, they are somewhat lower post 2020. A similar picture emerges for the scenarios as they relate to food-borne illnesses and to gastroenteritis. Specifically for food-borne illnesses, the BAU scenario recorded 27,537 cases, the A2 recorded 28,568 cases and the B2 recorded 28,679 cases. The focus on the selected sources of morbidity in the health sector has highlighted the fact that the vulnerability of the country’s health sector to climate change does not depend solely on exogenously derived impacts, but also on the behaviour and practices among the population. It is clear that the vulnerability which became evident in the analysis of the impacts on dengue fever, leptospirosis and food-borne illnesses is not restricted solely to climate or other external factors. The most important adaptation strategy being recommended targets lifestyle, behaviour and attitude changes. The population needs to be encouraged to alter their behaviours and practices so as to minimise their exposure to harmful outcomes as it relates to the incidence of these diseases.

An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the Agriculture, Health and Tourism sectors in Saint Lucia

This report analyses the agriculture, health and tourism sectors in Saint Lucia to assess the potential economic impacts of climate change on the sectors. The fundamental aim of this report is to assist with the development of strategies to deal with the potential impact of climate change in Saint Lucia. It also has the potential to provide essential input for identifying and preparing policies and strategies to help advance the Caribbean subregion closer to solving problems associated with climate change and attaining individual and regional sustainable development goals. Some of the key anticipated impacts of climate change for the Caribbean include elevated air and sea-surface temperatures, sea-level rise, possible changes in extreme events and a reduction in freshwater resources. The economic impact of climate change on the three sectors was estimated for the A2 and B2 IPCC scenarios until 2050. An evaluation of various adaptation strategies for each sector was also undertaken using standard evaluation techniques. The key subsectors in agriculture are expected to have mixed impacts under the A2 and B2 scenarios. Banana, fisheries and root crop outputs are expected to fall with climate change, but tree crop and vegetable production are expected to rise. In aggregate, in every decade up to 2050, these sub-sectors combined are expected to experience a gain under climate change with the highest gains under A2. By 2050, the cumulative gain under A2 is calculated as approximately US$389.35 million and approximately US$310.58 million under B2, which represents 17.93% and 14.30% of the 2008 GDP respectively. This result was unexpected and may well be attributed to the unavailability of annual data that would have informed a more robust assessment. Additionally, costs to the agriculture sector due to tropical cyclones were estimated to be $6.9 million and $6.2 million under the A2 and B2 scenarios, respectively. There are a number of possible adaptation strategies that can be employed by the agriculture sector. The most attractive adaptation options, based on the benefit-cost ratio are: (1) Designing and implementation of holistic water management plans (2) Establishment of systems of food storage and (3) Establishment of early warning systems. Government policy should focus on the development of these adaption options where they are not currently being pursued and strengthen those that have already been initiated, such as the mainstreaming of climate change issues in agricultural policy. The analysis of the health sector placed focus on gastroenteritis, schistosomiasis, ciguatera poisoning, meningococal meningitis, cardiovascular diseases, respiratory diseases and malnutrition. The results obtained for the A2 and B2 scenarios demonstrate the potential for climate change to add a substantial burden to the health system in the future, a factor that will further compound the country’s vulnerability to other anticipated impacts of climate change. Specifically, it was determined that the overall Value of Statistical Lives impacts were higher under the A2 scenario than the B2 scenario. A number of adaptation cost assumptions were employed to determine the damage cost estimates using benefit-cost analysis. The benefit-cost analysis suggests that expenditure on monitoring and information provision would be a highly efficient step in managing climate change and subsequent increases in disease incidence. Various locations in the world have developed forecasting systems for dengue fever and other vector-borne diseases that could be mirrored and implemented. Combining such macro-level policies with inexpensive micro-level behavioural changes may have the potential for pre-empting the re-establishment of dengue fever and other vector-borne epidemic cycles in Saint Lucia. Although temperature has the probability of generating significant excess mortality for cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, the power of temperature to increase mortality largely depends on the education of the population about the harmful effects of increasing temperatures and on the existing incidence of these two diseases. For these diseases it is also suggested that a mix of macro-level efforts and micro-level behavioural changes can be employed to relieve at least part of the threat that climate change poses to human health. The same principle applies for water and food-borne diseases, with the improvement of sanitation infrastructure complementing the strengthening of individual hygiene habits. The results regarding the tourism sector imply that the tourism climatic index was likely to experience a significant downward shift in Saint Lucia under the A2 as well as the B2 scenario, indicative of deterioration in the suitability of the island for tourism. It is estimated that this shift in tourism features could cost Saint Lucia about 5 times the 2009 GDP over a 40-year horizon. In addition to changes in climatic suitability for tourism, climate change is also likely to have important supply-side effects on species, ecosystems and landscapes. Two broad areas are: (1) coral reefs, due to their intimate link to tourism, and, (2) land loss, as most hotels tend to lie along the coastline. The damage related to coral reefs was estimated at US$3.4 billion (3.6 times GDP in 2009) under the A2 scenario and US$1.7 billion (1.6 times GDP in 2009) under the B2 scenario. The damage due to land loss arising from sea level rise was estimated at US$3.5 billion (3.7 times GDP) under the A2 scenario and US$3.2 billion (3.4 times GDP) under the B2 scenario. Given the potential for significant damage to the industry a large number of potential adaptation measures were considered. Out of these a short-list of 9 potential options were selected by applying 10 evaluation criteria. Using benefit-cost analyses 3 options with positive ratios were put forward: (1) increased recommended design speeds for new tourism-related structures; (2) enhanced reef monitoring systems to provide early warning alerts of bleaching events, and, (3) deployment of artificial reefs or other fish-aggregating devices. While these options had positive benefit-cost ratios, other options were also recommended based on their non-tangible benefits. These include the employment of an irrigation network that allows for the recycling of waste water, development of national evacuation and rescue plans, providing retraining for displaced tourism workers and the revision of policies related to financing national tourism offices to accommodate the new climate realities.

An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the Agriculture, Health and Tourism sectors in Jamaica

This report analyses the agriculture, health and tourism sectors in Jamaica to assess the potential economic impacts of climate change on the sectors. The fundamental aim of this report is to assist with the development of strategies to deal with the potential impact of climate change on Jamaica. It also has the potential to provide essential input for identifying and preparing policies and strategies to help move the Region closer to solving problems associated with climate change and attaining individual and regional sustainable development goals. Some of the key anticipated manifestations of climate change for the Caribbean include elevated air and sea-surface temperatures, sea-level rise, possible changes in extreme events and a reduction in freshwater resources. The economic impact of climate change on the three sectors was estimated for the A2 and B2 IPCC scenarios until 2050. An evaluation of various adaptation strategies was also undertaken for each sector using standard evaluation techniques. The outcomes from investigating the agriculture sector indicate that for the sugar-cane subsector the harvests under both the A2 and B2 scenarios decrease at first and then increase as the mid-century mark is approached. With respect to the yam subsector the results indicate that the yield of yam will increase from 17.4 to 23.1 tonnes per hectare (33%) under the A2 scenario, and 18.4 to 23.9 (30%) tonnes per hectare under the B2 scenario over the period 2011 to 2050. Similar to the forecasts for yam, the results for escallion suggest that yields will continue to increase to mid-century. Adaptation in the sugar cane sub-sector could involve replanting and irrigation that appear to generate net benefits at the three selected discount rates for the A2 scenario, but only at a discount rate of 1% for the B2 scenario. For yam and escallion, investment in irrigation will earn significant net benefits for both the A2 and B2 scenarios at the three selected rates of discount. It is recommended that if adaptation strategies are part of a package of strategies for improving efficiency and hence enhancing competitiveness, then the yields of each crop can be raised sufficiently to warrant investment in adaptation to climate change. The analysis of the health sector demonstrates the potential for climate change to add a substantial burden to the future health systems in Jamaica, something that that will only compound the country’s vulnerability to other anticipated impacts of climate change. The results clearly show that the incidence of dengue fever will increase if climate change continues unabated, with more cases projected for the A2 scenario than the B2. The models predicted a decrease in the incidence of gastroenteritis and leptospirosis with climate change, indicating that Jamaica will benefit from climate change with a reduction in the number of cases of gastroenteritis and leptospirosis. Due to the long time horizon anticipated for climate change, Jamaica should start implementing adaptation strategies focused on the health sector by promoting an enabling environment, strengthening communities, strengthening the monitoring, surveillance and response systems and integrating adaptation into development plans and actions. Small-island developing states like Jamaica must be proactive in implementing adaptation strategies, which will reduce the risk of climate change. On the global stage the country must continue to agitate for the implementation of the mitigation strategies for developed countries as outlined in the Kyoto protocol. The results regarding the tourism sector suggest that the sector is likely to incur losses due to climate change, the most significant of which is under the A2 scenario. Climatic features, such as temperature and precipitation, will affect the demand for tourism in Jamaica. By 2050 the industry is expected to lose US$ 132.2 million and 106.1 million under the A2 and B2 scenarios, respectively. In addition to changes in the climatic suitability for tourism, climate change is also likely to have important supply-side effects from extreme events and acidification of the ocean. The expected loss from extreme events is projected to be approximately US$ 5.48 billion (A2) and US$ 4.71 billion (B2). Even more devastating is the effect of ocean acidification on the tourism sector. The analysis shows that US$ 7.95 billion (A2) and US$ 7.04 billion is expected to be lost by mid-century. The benefit-cost analysis indicates that most of the adaptation strategies are expected to produce negative net benefits, and it is highly likely that the cost burden would have to be carried by the state. The options that generated positive ratios were: redesigning and retrofitting all relevant tourism facilities, restoring corals and educating the public and developing rescue and evacuation plans. Given the relative importance of tourism to the macroeconomy one possible option is to seek assistance from multilateral funding agencies. It is recommended that the government first undertake a detailed analysis of the vulnerability of each sector and, in particular tourism, to climate change. Further, more realistic socio-economic scenarios should be developed so as to inform future benefit-cost analysis.

An economic assessment of the impact of climate change on the health sector in Montserrat

Climate change has the potential to impact on global, regional, and national disease burdens both directly and indirectly. Projecting and valuing these health impacts is important not only in terms of assessing the overall impact of climate change on various parts of the world, but also in terms of ensuring that national and regional decision-making institutions have access to the data necessary to guide investment decisions and future policy design. This report contributes to the research focusing on projecting and valuing the impacts of climate change in the Caribbean by projecting the climate change-induced excess disease burden for two climate change scenarios in Montserrat for the period 2010 - 2050, and by estimating the monetary value associated with this excess disease burden. The diseases initially considered in this report are variety of vector and water-borne impacts and other miscellaneous conditions; specifically, malaria, dengue fever, gastroenteritis/diarrheal disease, schistosomiasis, leptospirosis, ciguatera poisoning, meningococcal meningitis, and cardio-respiratory diseases. Disease projections were based on derived baseline incidence and mortality rates, available dose-response relationships found in the published literature, climate change scenario population projections for the A2 and B2 IPCC SRES scenario families, and annual temperature and precipitation anomalies as projected by the downscaled ECHAM4 global climate model. Monetary valuation was based on a transfer value of statistical life approach with a modification for morbidity. Using discount rates of 1%, 2% and 4%, results show mean annual costs (morbidity and mortality) ranges of $0.61 million (in the B2 scenario, discounted at 4% annually) – $1 million (in the A2 scenario, discounted at 1% annually) for Montserrat. These costs are compared to adaptation cost scenarios involving increased direct spending on per capita health care. This comparison reveals a high benefit-cost ratio suggesting that moderate costs will deliver significant benefit in terms of avoided health burdens in the period 2010-2050. The methodology and results suggest that a focus on coordinated data collection and improved monitoring represents a potentially important no regrets adaptation strategy for Montserrat. Also the report highlights the need for this to be part of a coordinated regional response that avoids duplication in spending.

An assessment of the economic impact Of climate change on the health sector in Saint Lucia

Climate change has the potential to impact on global, regional, and national disease burdens both directly and indirectly. Projecting and valuing these health impacts is important not only in terms of assessing the overall impact of climate change on various parts of the world, but also of ensuring that national and regional decision-making institutions have access to the data necessary to guide investment decisions and future policy design. This report contributes to the research focusing on projecting and valuing the impacts of climate change in the Caribbean by projecting the climate change-induced excess disease burden for two climate change scenarios in Saint Lucia for the period 2010 - 2050, and by estimating the non-market, statistical life-based costs associated with this excess disease burden. The diseases initially considered in this report are a variety of vector and water-borne impacts and other miscellaneous conditions; specifically, malaria, dengue fever, gastroenteritis/diarrhoeal disease, schistosomiasis, leptospirosis, ciguatera poisoning, meningococcal meningitis, and cardio-respiratory diseases. Disease projections were based on derived baseline incidence and mortality rates, available dose-response relationships found in the published literature, climate change scenario population projections for the A2 and B2 IPCC SRES scenario families, and annual temperature and precipitation anomalies as projected by the downscaled ECHAM4 global climate model. Monetary valuation was based on a transfer value of statistical life approach with a modification for morbidity. Using discount rates of 1, 2, and 4%, results show mean annual costs (morbidity and mortality) ranges of $80.2 million (in the B2 scenario, discounted at 4% annually) -$182.4 million (in the A2 scenario, discounted at 1% annually) for St. Lucia.1 These costs are compared to adaptation cost scenarios involving direct and indirect interventions in health care. This comparison reveals a high benefit-cost ratio suggesting that moderate costs will deliver significant benefit in terms of avoided health costs from 2010-2050. In this context indirect interventions target sectors other than healthcare (e.g. water supply). It is also important to highlight that interventions can target both the supply of health infrastructure (including health status and disease monitoring), and households. It is suggested that a focus on coordinated data collection and improved monitoring represents a potentially important no regrets adaptation strategy for St Lucia. Also, the need for this to be part of a coordinated regional response that avoids duplication in spending is highlighted.

An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the health sector In Jamaica

Climate change is a naturally occurring phenomenon in which the earth‘s climate goes through cycles of warming and cooling; these changes usually take place incrementally over millennia. Over the past century, there has been an anomalous increase in global temperature, giving rise to accelerated climate change. It is widely accepted that greenhouse gas emissions from human activities such as industries have contributed significantly to the increase in global temperatures. The existence and survival of all living organisms is predicated on the ability of the environment in which they live not only to provide conditions for their basic needs but also conditions suitable for growth and reproduction. Unabated climate change threatens the existence of biophysical and ecological systems on a planetary scale. The present study aims to examine the economic impact of climate change on health in Jamaica over the period 2011-2050. To this end, three disease conditions with known climate sensitivity and importance to Jamaican public health were modelled. These were: dengue fever, leptospirosis and gastroenteritis in children under age 5. Historical prevalence data on these diseases were obtained from the Ministry of Health Jamaica, the Caribbean Epidemiology Centre, the Climate Studies Group Mona, University of the West Indies Mona campus, and the Meteorological Service of Jamaica. Data obtained spanned a twelve-year period of 1995-2007. Monthly data were obtained for dengue and gastroenteritis, while for leptospirosis, the annual number of cases for 1995-2005 was utilized. The two SRES emission scenarios chosen were A2 and B2 using the European Centre Hamburg Model (ECHAM) global climate model to predict climate variables for these scenarios. A business as usual (BAU) scenario was developed using historical disease data for the period 2000-2009 (dengue fever and gastroenteritis) and 1995-2005 (leptospirosis) as the reference decades for the respective diseases. The BAU scenario examined the occurrence of the diseases in the absence of climate change. It assumed that the disease trend would remain unchanged over the projected period and the number of cases of disease for each decade would be the same as the reference decade. The model used in the present study utilized predictive empirical statistical modelling to extrapolate the climate/disease relationship in time, to estimate the number of climate change-related cases under future climate change scenarios. The study used a Poisson regression model that considered seasonality and lag effects to determine the best-fit model in relation to the diseases under consideration. Zhang and others (2008), in their review of climate change and the transmission of vector-borne diseases, found that: ―Besides climatic variables, few of them have included other factors that can affect the transmission of vector-borne disease….‖ (Zhang 2008) Water, sanitation and health expenditure are key determinants of health. In the draft of the second communication to IPCC, Jamaica noted the vulnerability of public health to climate change, including sanitation and access to water (MSJ/UNDP, 2009). Sanitation, which in its broadest context includes the removal of waste (excreta, solid, or other hazardous waste), is a predictor of vector-borne diseases (e.g. dengue fever), diarrhoeal diseases (such as gastroenteritis) and zoonoses (such as leptospirosis). In conceptualizing the model, an attempt was made to include non-climate predictors of these climate-sensitive diseases. The importance of sanitation and water access to the control of dengue, gastroenteritis and leptospirosis were included in the Poisson regression model. The Poisson regression model obtained was then used to predict the number of disease cases into the future (2011-2050) for each emission scenario. After projecting the number of cases, the cost associated with each scenario was calculated using four cost components. 1. Treatment cost morbidity estimate. The treatment cost for the number of cases was calculated using reference values found in the literature for each condition. The figures were derived from studies of the cost of treatment and represent ambulatory and non-fatal hospitalized care for dengue fever and gastroenteritis. Due to the paucity of published literature on the health care cost associated with leptospirosis, only the cost of diagnosis and antibiotic therapy were included in the calculation. 2. Mortality estimates. Mortality estimates are recorded as case fatality rates. Where local data were available, these were utilized. Where these were unavailable, appropriate reference values from the literature were used. 3. Productivity loss. Productivity loss was calculated using a human capital approach, by multiplying the expected number of productive days lost by the caregiver and/or the infected person, by GDP per capita per day (US$ 14) at 2008 GDP using 2008 US$ exchange rates. 4. No-option cost. The no-option cost refers to adaptation strategies for the control of dengue fever which are ongoing and already a part of the core functions of the Vector Control Division of the Ministry of Health, Jamaica. An estimated US$ 2.1 million is utilized each year in conducting activities to prevent the post-hurricane spread of vector borne diseases and diarrhoea. The cost includes public education, fogging, laboratory support, larvicidal activities and surveillance. This no-option cost was converted to per capita estimates, using population estimates for Jamaica up to 2050 obtained from the Statistical Institute of Jamaica (STATIN, 2006) and the assumption of one expected major hurricane per decade. During the decade 2000-2009, Jamaica had an average inflation of 10.4% (CIA Fact book, last updated May 2011). This average decadal inflation rate was applied to the no-option cost, which was inflated by 10% for each successive decade to adjust for changes in inflation over time.

Malária por Plasmodium vivax na infância e na adolescência - aspectos epidemiológicos, clínicos e laboratoriais

As crianças, assim como os adultos, são susceptíveis em adquirir malária, apresentando manifestações clínicas de intensidade variável na dependência do seu grau de imunidade e da espécie de plasmódio causadora da infecção. Com o objetivo de traçar o perfil epidemiológico, clínico e laboratorial da malária por P. vivax foram avaliadas 100 crianças entre 0 - 14 anos de idade, de ambos os sexos, com diagnóstico positivo para P. vivax (gota espessa), no Ambulatório do Programa de Malária do Instituto Evandro Chagas, Belém - Pará, no período de janeiro de 1995 a novembro de 1996. Em relação à faixa etária, os adolescentes foram os mais acometidos pela doença (37,0%). Os casos autóctones representaram 34,0% da casuística, evidenciando a presença do paludismo nos núcleos urbanos da Região Amazônica. A febre, em 88,0% das crianças se constituiu na principal manifestação clínica inicial da doença. No 1º dia de atendimento (D0), a febre, o calafrio e a cefaléia (tríade malárica) ocorreram respectivamente em 97,0%, 91,0% e 85,0%, enquanto que a hepatomegalia em 29,0% e a esplenomegalia em 46,0% das crianças. Entre palidez e anemia, avaliada pela taxa de hemoglobina, houve uma correlação significativa (p < 0,05), verificando-se que entre as crianças pálidas, 89,2% eram anêmicas. A hemólise parece ter sido a causa básica da anemia, tendo também contribuído para sua instalação o retardo no diagnóstico (média de 12,5 dias) e o parasitismo intestinal por ancilostomídeos. Neste estudo, a desnutrição parece não ter exercido qualquer influencia sobre a anemia. Com a terapêutica, observou-se um declínio tanto no percentual de crianças com tríade malárica como no percentual de crianças com parasitemia assexuada, sendo este declínio de maior intensidade na tríade malárica. Outros sinais e sintomas (palidez, astenia, artralgia, cefaléia, colúria) ocorreram por um período de tempo maior do que o da tríade malárica, em geral, persistindo até 14 dias. As complicações presentes durante ou imediatamente após o tratamento, em 5,0% das crianças, foram pneumonia, broncopneumonia, impetigo generalizado, gastroenterite e exantema de etiologia não definida. Em relação à metodologia empregada para avaliação da hepatoesplenomegalia, a ultrassonografia abdominal mostrou-se mais sensível do que a palpação abdominal. Com o tratamento instituído, as taxas de : hemoglobina, os reticulócitos e o volume corpuscular médio (VCM) tiveram um aumento significativo de D0 (primeiro dia de terapêutica) para D7 (oitavo dia de terapêutica). Entretanto, em relação à concentração da hemoglobina corpuscular média (CHCM) houve uma diminuição significativa nos valores encontrados em D7 quando comparados aos valores de D0, possilvemente às custas de uma menor oferta de ferro para a medula óssea.

Eficácia clínica da vacina tetravalente (RRV-TV) contra rotavírus em Belém, Pará

Acumulam-se evidências presentemente, indicando que o efetivo controle das gastroenterites por rotavírus só poderá ser alcançado com o advento de um imunizante eficaz para uso nos primeiros meses de vida. Com o objetivo de avaliar a eficácia da vacina geneticamente rearranjada, rhesus-humana, tetravalente (RRV-TV, 4 X 10(4) pfu/dose) frente aos parâmetros clínicos mais relevantes das gastroenterites por rotavírus, procedeu-se ao reexame de 91 episódios diarréicos em crianças no âmbito de uma investigação prévia conduzida em Belém, Pará, Brasil. As informações para o estudo foram obtidas a partir de dados contidos em fichas utilizadas na rotina de vigilância dos episódios diarréicos, bem como daqueles com registro clínico diário enquanto persistisse a diarréia. A eficácia relativa foi especificamente avaliada frente aos seguintes indicadores clínicos de gravidade: a) duração da diarréia; b) número máximo de evacuações líquidas/semilíquidas por dia; c) duração dos vômitos; d) número máximo de vômitos/24h; e) febre (temperatura retal); f) desidratação; e g) necessidade de tratamento. A gravidade clínica global das gastroenterites por rotavírus foi determinada por um sistema de escores (somatória máxima de 20 pontos) que permitiu classificar os episódios diarréicos em: leves (0-8), moderados a severos (9-14) e muito graves (>14). Uma significativa (p<0,05) proteção conferida pela RRV-TV foi observada em cinco das sete condições clínicas avaliadas, quais sejam: a) duração da diarréia (episódios puros, eficácia de 52%); b) número máximo de evacuações líquidas/semilíquidas por dia (todos os episódios, 42% e os puros, 53%); c) número máximo de vômitos (todos, 56% e os puros, 62%); d) desidratação (todos, 46%) Elevados índices de proteção foram obtidos frente aos episódios associados ao sorotipo G2, durante o segundo ano de acompanhamento, se considerados o número máximo e a duração de vômitos: 90% e 100% respectivamente. Ainda em relação ao tipo G2, a eficácia cumulativa foi de 100% contra os episódios com escore clínico >14. Taxas similares de eficácia frente às infecções mistas (35%) e puras (37%) foram registradas nos dois anos de estudo. Embora não se tenha registrado proteção quanto aos casos leves (escores de 0 a 8), a RRV0TV foi 75% (p=0,02) eficaz contra os episódios mais graves de gastroenterites por rotavírus; houve tendência à proteção contra todos os quadros diarréicos e os puros, com escores clínicos de 9 a 14: 44% (p=0,06) e 45% (p=0,08), respectivamente. Os resultados do estudo sustentam o conceito vigente de que a RRV-TV parece proteger seletivamente contra os quadros diarréicos revestidos de maior gravidade clínica.

Doenças tropicais e infecciosas como causa de morte atestada e classificada: um estudo de concordância, no estado do Pará, no período de 1996 a 2001

A falta de decisão na declaração da causa básica de morte é uma fonte de erro particularmente importante nas análises de moralidade segundo causas. O objetivo do estudo foi avaliar a concordância entre a causa de morte atestada por médicos e a classificada mediante o uso das regras internacionais de classificação de causa básica de morte e sua influência no perfil da mortalidade por doenças tropicais, infeccionas e parasitárias, no Estado do Pará, no período de 1996 a 2001. O estudo foi do tipo descritivo, exploratório, tendo como base de dados os atestados de óbitos do sistema de informações de mortalidade estadual. Utilizou-se, para seleção dos dados, recursos do programa Excel 7.0 e do EPI-INFO 6.04 e, para análise o Coeficiente de Mortalidade (CM) por causa, a concordância observada (CO) e o Kappa. Os resultados encontrados evidenciam um perfil de mortalidade semelhante para as causas atestadas e classificadas (septicemias, diarréias e gastroenterite de origem infecciosa presumível, SIDA/AIDS, tuberculose e malária), com diferenças significativas nos valores dos CM por causa nos anos estudados (1996,p=0,0426; 1997,p=0,0223; 1998, p=0,001; 1999, p=0,0023; 2000, p=0,009 e 2001, p=0,0023). Os valores, encontrados, da CO e de Kappa, refletem as limitações impostas pelo preenchimento incorreto dos atestados do óbito e para a necessidade da implantação, nos municípios, das tabulações de causa múltipla de morte

Eficácia e segurança de uma vacina oral de rotavírus humano atenuado contra gastroenterite grave por rotavírus, durante os primeiros dois anos de vida em crianças em Belém, Pará, Brasil

Os rotavírus se constituem nos principais agentes causadores de gastroenterite grave entre crianças com idades inferiores a 5 anos, tanto nos países desenvolvidos quanto naqueles em desenvolvimento, com pico de incidência entre 6 e 24 meses de vida. Em termos globais, estima-se que pelo menos 500.000 óbitos por ano se associem a esse enteropatógeno. Um extenso ensaio clínico de fase 111, randomizado na proporção de 1 :1, controlado por placebo e duplo-cego, envolvendo 11 países da América Latina e a Finlândia se levou a efeito objetivando-se avaliar a eficácia e segurança de uma vacina atenuada, de origem humana, contra rotavírus, denominada RIX4414. Na totalidade, recrutaram-se mais de 63.000 crianças. Em Belém, Pará, tais estudos envolveram 3.218 indivíduos aos quais se administraram duas doses de vacina ou placebo, no segundo e quarto meses de idade. Desse total avaliou-se um subgrupo de 653 crianças quanto à eficácia da vacina, com acompanhamento ao longo de 1 a 2 anos, quando se registraram 37 episódios de GE grave por rotavírus, 75,6% (28/37) dos quais no grupo placebo e 24,3% (9/37) entre os vacinados, daí se inferindo eficácia da vacina de 68,8% (IC95% 32.0-87,0) nos primeiros dois anos de vida. No que se refere à intensidade desses episódios, notou-se maior eficácia contra os classificados como muito graves (escore de Ruuska & Vesikari ≥ 15), alcançando níveis de 83% (IC95% 22-96). No grupo placebo observou-se risco cumulativo, quanto ao desenvolvimento de gastroenterite grave por rotavírus, 4 vezes superior em relação ao vacinado. Quanto aos sorotipos de rotavírus G1 e não-G1, evidenciou-se proteção de 51 % (IC95% -30 - 81) e 82% (IC95% 37-95), respectivamente, denotando-se proteção tanto homotípica quanto heterotípica. De particular relevância se constituiu a proteção frente ao G9 [93% (IC95% 47-99)], dado o caráter emergente global desse sorotipo, além do seu potencial quanto a desencadear quadros diarréicos rotineiramente mais graves. A eficácia da vacina contra episódios de GE de qualquer etiologia alcançou 35,3% (IC95% 11,6-52,9), do que se depreende o expressivo impacto em potencial da vacinação contra rotavírus em termos de saúde pública. No que se refere à segurança desse imunizante, não se observaram diferenças significativas do ponto de vista estatístico, entre os grupos vacina e placebo, no que concerne à ocorrência de eventos adversos graves. Não se registrou qualquer caso de intussuscepção entre os sujeitos participantes, mercê de extensiva vigilância ativa nos hospitais de referência. Os resultados encontrados nesse estudo corroboram os já descritos em ensaios multicêntricos como um todo, em vários continentes, consolidando os indicadores quanto à eficácia e segurança da vacina RIX4414 quando administrada em duas doses a crianças saudáveis.

Estudo epidemiológico do gênero Aeromonas, por meio de técnicas moleculares, em diversas etapas do abate bovino

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Epidemiologia molecular das infecções por rotavírus G2 ao longo de 16 anos (1992 a 2008) na região amazônica, Brasil

No Brasil, estima-se que os rotavírus causem 3.352.053 episódios de diarreia, 655.853 ambulatoriais, 92.453 hospitalizações e 850 mortes envolvendo crianças menores de 5 anos de idade. Os rotavírus pertencem à família Reoviridae, gênero Rotavirus. A partícula viral é constituída por três camadas proteicas concêntricas e pelo genoma viral reunindo 11 segmentos de RNA com dupla fita. Reconhecem-se 23 genótipos G e 31 genótipos P. Dentre os genótipos G detectados até o momento, o G2 atua como um dos mais importantes, estando geralmente associado ao genótipo P[4]. Nos últimos três anos se tem observado em larga escala global a reemergência do genótipo G2, sendo um dos mais detectados nos anos que sucederam a implantação da vacina contra rotavírus, particularmente no Brasil. Este estudo teve como objetivo a caracterização molecular de amostras do tipo G2 obtidas de crianças participantes de estudos em gastroenterites virais na região amazônica, Brasil, no período de 1992 a 2008. Foram selecionadas 53 amostras positivas para rotavírus genótipo G2 que foram sequenciadas para VP7 e 38 para VP4. Inicialmente, as amostras foram genotipadas por RT-PCR e seus produtos purificados, quantificados e sequenciados. As amostras também foram testadas quanto ao perfil de migração dos segmentos de RNA. As sequências obtidas dos genes VP4 e VP7 foram alinhadas e editadas no programa Bioedit (v.6.05) e comparadas a outras sequências de RV registradas no banco de genes utilizando o programa BLAST. A árvore filogenética foi feita utilizando o programa Mega 2.1. Do total de 53 amostras sequenciadas para o gene VP7, a análise filogenética revelou a existência de duas linhagens (II e III) e três sublinhagens (IIa, IIc, IId) que circularam em períodos diferentes na população. Amostras das sub-linhagem IIa e IIc apresentaram mutação na posição no aminoácido da posição 96 (Asp/ Asn) . Essa modificação pode resultar em uma alteração conformacional dos epítopos reconhecidos por anticorpos neutralizantes. As linhagens de G2 que circularam em Belém foram idênticas àquelas de outros Estados da região amazônica envolvidos no estudo. O gene VP[4] foi sequenciado na região da VP8*, sendo 36 pertencentes do genótipo P[4] e 3 ao P[6]. No genótipo P[4] foi identificada a circulação de duas linhagens, P[4]-4 ocorrendo nos anos de 1998-2000, e P[4]-5 que circulou nos períodos de 1993-1994 e 2006-2008. Nossos resultados reforçam dados de ocorrência continental que evidenciam a reemergência do genótipo G2 com a variante gênica IIc, a qual se estabeleceu na população em associação com o genótipo P[4]-5. A grande homologia entre as cepas de G2 que circularam entre os diferentes estados envolvidos no estudo sugere que as mutações registradas ultrapassaram barreiras geográficas e temporais.

Análise filogenética de genes de provável origem não humana de rotavírus do grupo A em espécimes fecais de crianças com gastrenterite aguda provenientes de Belém, Brasil

Os rotavírus (RVs) são a principal causa de gastrenterites viróticas agudas tanto em seres humanos, como em animais jovens de várias espécies, incluindo bezerros, equinos, suínos, caninos, felinos e aves. A diversidade genética dos RVs está associada a diferentes mecanismos de evolução. Nesse contexto registrem-se: mutação pontual, rearranjo genômico e reestruturação (reassortment). O objetivo do presente estudo foi realizar a caracterização molecular dos genes que codificam para as proteínas estruturais e não-estruturais em amostras não usuais de RVs. Os espécimes clínicos selecionados para este estudo foram oriundos de projetos de pesquisa em gastrenterites virais conduzidos no Instituto Evandro Chagas e provenientes de crianças e neonato com gastrenterite por RVs. Os espécimes fecais foram submetidos à reação em cadeia mediada pela polimerase, para os genes estruturais (VP1-VP4, VP6 e VP7) e não estruturais (NSP1-NSP6), os quais foram sequenciados posteriormente. Oito amostras não usuais de RV oriundas de crianças e neonato com gastrenterite foram analisadas evidenciando a ocorrência de eventos de rearranjos entre genes provenientes de origem animal em 5/8 (62,5%) das amostras analisadas. Desta forma, o presente estudo demonstra que apesar de ser rara a transmissão de RVs entre espécies (animais – humanos), ela está ocorrendo na natureza, como o que possivelmente ocorreu nas amostras do presente estudo NB150, HSP034, HSP180, HST327 e RV10109. O estudo é pioneiro na região amazônica e reforça dados descritos anteriormente que demonstram o estreito relacionamento existente entre genes provenientes de origem humana e animal que possam representar um desafio às vacinas ora em uso introduzidas em escala progressiva nos programas nacionais de imunização.

Análise molecular dos genes VP4, VP7 e NSP4 de rotavírus do tipo G1 circulantes em Belém e Marituba, Pará, Brasil, de 1982 a 2008

Os rotavírus são os principais agentes virais causadores de gastrenterite aguda e responsáveis por 36% dos casos hospitalizações entre crianças menores de cinco anos, resultando em 453.000 óbitos anualmente, principalmente em países em desenvolvimento. Pertencem à família Reoviridae, gênero Rotavirus, possui RNA de dupla fita (dsRNA) com 11 segmentos codificando 12 proteínas. O genótipo G1 se apresenta geralmente com maior frequência nas investigações epidemiológicas, circulando em várias partes do mundo sob diferentes prevalências. Este estudo teve como objetivo analisar a variabilidade genética dos genes VP4, VP7 e NSP4 dos rotavírus G1 circulantes nos municípios de Belém e Marituba, Pará, Brasil, no período de 1982 a 2008. Foram selecionadas 83 amostras previamente caracterizadas como G1 e submetidas a RT-PCR. Os espécimes foram provenientes de sete estudos realizados no IEC. Foi possível a amplificação para os três genes em estudo de 63 (75,9%) espécimes. Foram detectadas as linhagens 1 (8/63, 12,7 %), 2 (29/63, 46,0%), 3 (18/63, 28,6%) e 9 (8/63, 12,7%) para o gene VP7. Co-predominaram as sublinhagens 2E e 3A concorrendo com um total de 57,1% (36/63) das amostras. Foram observadas três substituições de aminoácidos (97 [D→E], 147 [S→N] e 218 [I→V]) no gene VP7 nas regiões antigênicas (A, B e C) nas amostras das linhagens 1, 2 e 9. Todas as amostras apresentaram a especificidade P[8] para o gene VP4 e as linhagens 2 (21/63, 33,3%) e 3 (42/63, 66,7%) foram detectadas. No gene da VP4 ocorreram duas alterações (35 [I→V] e 38 [S→G]) na região antigênica em todas as amostras analisadas. Para o gene NSP4, todas as amostras pertenceram ao tipo E1. Houve mudanças de nucleotídeos nas posições 47 (C→T) e 101 (T→C), resultando em alteração aminoacídica nos resíduos 16 (S→P) e 34 (L→P) em todas as amostras analisadas e nove espécimes demonstraram alteração no sítio de toxicidade da NSP4 (aa 131). Tal análise permitiu ampliar o conhecimento da diversidade genética e da circulação de variantes de rotavírus G1, representando o primeiro estudo da epidemiologia molecular deste genótipo no Brasil e confirmar a alta heterogeneidade que este tipo apresenta.