Efectos marco : el problema de la enfermedad de Asia en una muestra de estudiantes argentinos

Resumen: El efecto marco de riesgo constituye un ejemplo de irracionalidad en la toma de decisiones. Se trata de las variaciones en las respuestas inducidas por el marco positivo o negativo en el que una tarea es presentada. El problema de la enfermedad de Asia, Tversky y Kahneman (1981), es una de las tareas diseñadas para evaluar este fenómeno. En el presente estudio se resumen los resultados de investigaciones previas respecto de este efecto y su relación con una serie de factores. Luego se exponen los resultados obtenidos en una muestra de 163 estudiantes universitarios argentinos. Estos resultados indican tanto en hombres como en mujeres, el efecto marco surge únicamente cuando la tarea es presentada negativamente: bajo esta condición los participantes tienden a elegir la opción riesgosa.

Asymmetries in Business Cycles

Esta disertación busca estudiar los mecanismos de transmisión que vinculan el comportamiento de agentes y firmas con las asimetrías presentes en los ciclos económicos. Para lograr esto, se construyeron tres modelos DSGE. El en primer capítulo, el supuesto de función cuadrática simétrica de ajuste de la inversión fue removido, y el modelo canónico RBC fue reformulado suponiendo que des-invertir es más costoso que invertir una unidad de capital físico. En el segundo capítulo, la contribución más importante de esta disertación es presentada: la construcción de una función de utilidad general que anida aversión a la pérdida, aversión al riesgo y formación de hábitos, por medio de una función de transición suave. La razón para hacerlo así es el hecho de que los individuos son aversos a la pérdidad en recesiones, y son aversos al riesgo en auges. En el tercer capítulo, las asimetrías en los ciclos económicos son analizadas junto con ajuste asimétrico en precios y salarios en un contexto neokeynesiano, con el fin de encontrar una explicación teórica de la bien documentada asimetría presente en la Curva de Phillips.

Does uncertainty cause inertia in decision making? An experimental study of the role of regret aversion and indecisiveness

Previous research has shown that often there is clear inertia in individual decision making---that is, a tendency for decision makers to choose a status quo option. I conduct a laboratory experiment to investigate two potential determinants of inertia in uncertain environments: (i) regret aversion and (ii) ambiguity-driven indecisiveness. I use a between-subjects design with varying conditions to identify the effects of these two mechanisms on choice behavior. In each condition, participants choose between two simple real gambles, one of which is the status quo option. I find that inertia is quite large and that both mechanisms are equally important.

Risk, ambiguity, and diversification

Attitudes toward risk influence the decision to diversify among uncertain options. Yet, because in most situations the options are ambiguous, attitudes toward ambiguity may also play an important role. I conduct a laboratory experiment to investigate the effect of ambiguity on the decision to diversify. I find that diversification is more prevalent and more persistent under ambiguity than under risk. Moreover, excess diversification under ambiguity is driven by participants who stick with a status quo gamble when diversification among gambles is not feasible. This behavioral pattern cannot be accommodated by major theories of choice under ambiguity.

Grandiflora : Recent Paintings by Daniel Mafe

Grandiflora: Recent Paintings by Daniel Mafe The paintings of Grandiflora are improvised around a range of different flower motifs culled from medieval textiles and botanical illustrations. Each of the paintings is constructed upon a ground of flat, palely luminous yellow occasionally supplemented by additional areas of high-keyed pastel. Pink, blue, green and mauve together with the yellow, generate a shimmering and even incandescent glow. The graphic images of the flowers with the flat colour areas are then contrasted and worked over with richly sensual, abstract gestures of paint. Within the work there is a pronounced almost rococo-esque opticality as it operates between these different visual codes of flat colour, recognizable floral forms, and gesture. These codes combine to produce a definite visceral impact on the viewer, a pronounced and tactile sense of the experience and ambiguity inherent in perceiving. This ambiguity is interestingly at odds with the apparently clean and crisp quality each painting demonstrates as an integrated whole. Indeed each piece goes on to reveal, despite the use of overt figurative quotations, a sense of the purely abstract which in its turn concretely establishes the ornamental.

Suspected child abuse and neglect reporting behaviour

Executuve Summary Background and Aims Child abuse and neglect is a tragedy within our community, with over 10,000 substantiated reports of abuse and neglect in Queensland in the past year. The considerable consequences of child abuse and neglect are far-reaching, substantial and can be fatal. The reporting of suspicions of child abuse or neglect is often the first step in preventing further abuse or neglect. In the State of Queensland, medical practitioners are mandated by law to report their suspicions of child abuse and neglect. However, despite this mandate many still do not report their suspicions. A 1998 study indicated that 43% of medical practitioners had, at some time, made a conscious decision to not report suspected abuse or neglect (Van Haeringen, Dadds & Armstrong, 1998). The aim of this study was to gain a better understanding of beliefs about reporting suspected child abuse and neglect and the barriers to reporting suspected abuse and neglect by medical practitioners and parents and students. The findings have the potential to inform the training and education of members of the community who have a shared responsibility to protect the wellbeing of its most vulnerable members. Method In one of the largest studies of reporting behaviour in relation to suspected child abuse and neglect in Australia, we examined and compared medical practitioners’ responses with members of the community, namely parents and students. We surveyed 91 medical practitioners and 214 members of the community (102 parents and 112 students) regarding their beliefs and reporting behaviour related to suspected child abuse and neglect. We also examined reasons for not reporting suspected abuse or neglect, as well as awareness of responsibilities and the appropriate reporting procedures. To obtain such information, participants anonymously completed a comprehensive questionnaire using items from previous studies of reporting attitudes and behaviour. Executive Summary Abused Child Trust Report August 2003 5 Findings Key findings include: • The majority of medical practitioners (97%) were aware of their duty to report suspected abuse and neglect and believed they had a professional and ethical duty to do so. • A majority of parents (82%) and students (68%) also believed that they had a professional and ethical duty to report suspected abuse and neglect. • In accord with their statutory duty to report suspected abuse and neglect, 69% of medical practitioners had made a report at some point. • Sixteen percent of parents and 9% of students surveyed indicated that they had reported their suspicions of neglect and abuse. • The most endorsed belief associated with not reporting suspected child abuse and neglect was that, ‘unpleasant events would follow reporting’. • Over a quarter of medical practitioners (26%) admitted to making a decision not to report their suspicions of child abuse or neglect on at least one occasion. • Compared with previous research, there has been a decline in the number of medical practitioners who decided not to report suspected abuse or neglect from 43% (Van Haeringen et al., 1998) to 26% in the current study. • Fourteen percent of parents and 15% of students surveyed had also chosen not to report a case of suspected abuse or neglect. • Attitudes that most strongly influenced the decision to report or not report suspected abuse or neglect differed between groups (medical practitioners, parents, or students). A belief that, ‘the abuse was a single incident’ was the best predictor of non-reporting by medical practitioners, while having ‘no time to follow-up the report’ or failing to be ‘convinced of evidence of abuse’ best predicted failure to report abuse by students. A range of beliefs predicted non-reporting by parents, including the beliefs that reporting suspected abuse was ‘not their responsibility’ and ‘knowing the child had retracted their statement’. Conclusions Of major concern is that approximately 25% of medical practitioners with a mandated responsibility to report, as well as some members of the general public, revealed that they have suspected child neglect or abuse but have made the decision not to report their suspicions. Parents and students perceived the general community as having responsibility for reporting suspicions of abuse or neglect. Despite this perception, they felt that lodging a report may be overly demanding in terms of time and they had the confidence in their ability to identify child abuse and neglect. An explanation for medical practitioners deciding not to report may be based upon their optimistic belief that suspected abuse or neglect was a single incident. Our findings may best be understood from the ‘inflation of optimism’ hypothesis put forward by the Nobel Laureate, Daniel Kahneman. He suggests that in spite of rational evidence, human beings tend to make judgements based on an optimistic view rather than engaging in a rational decision-making process. In this case, despite past behaviour of abuse or neglect being the best predictor of future behaviour, medical practitioners have taken an optimistic view, choosing to believe that their suspicion of child abuse or neglect represents a single incident. The clear implication of findings in the current research is the need for the members of the general community and medical practitioners to be better appraised of the consequences of their decision-making in relation to suspicionsof child abuse and neglect. Finally findings from parents and students relating to their reporting behaviour suggest that members of the larger community represent an untapped resourcewho might, with appropriate awareness, play a more significant role in theidentification and reporting of suspected child abuse and neglect.

Tuuleen piirrän nimeni : Daniel Urwindin fragmentaarinen omaelämäkerta Bo Carpelanin romaanissa Alkutuuli

Tutkielma käsittelee Bo Carpelanin romaania Alkutuuli (Urwind 1993) päähenkilö Daniel Urwindin fragmentaarisesti kerrottuna elämäntarinana. Kyse on kahdella aikatasolla etenevästä fiktiivisestä omaelämäkerrasta, joka perustuu viikottaisiin päiväkirjamerkintöihin. Daniel hahmottaa identiteettiään tilaan kytkeytyneiden muistojen sekä oman nimensä avulla leikaten samalla kerronnan jatkuvuuden. Tutkimusongelmana on hahmottaa Danielin kerronnan tavat, kirjoittamisen syyt sekä prosessiin lopputulos. Menneisyyteen kohdistuvan minä-kerronnan analyysi perustuu Dorrit Cohnin Transparent minds -teoksen käsitteistöön. Alkutuulessa esiintyy muistikerronnan ja muistimonologin epäsäännöllistä vuorottelua. Niiden osana on edesmenneiden läheisten upotettuja monologeja, joiden takaa kuultaa Danielin ääni: monologit ovat Danielin kuvittelemia tai referoimia puheita ja ajatuksia, joiden esittäjä on hänen yksinäisen keskustelunsa toinen osapuoli. Omaelämäkertaa käsittelevinä teoreettisina lähteinä ovat ensisijaisesti Päivi Kososen artikkelit sekä hänen tutkimuksensa Elämät sanoissa. Tutkielman tulkinnan kannalta keskeisessä asemassa ovat Bo Carpelanin essee- ja kaunokirjallinen tuotanto. Kirjoittamisen lähtökohtana on päähenkilön identiteettiä horjuttava elämänvaihe. Vaimo Marian lähdettyä vuodeksi Amerikkaan Daniel pyrkii löytämään oman kielensä ja luomaan muistojensa avulla eheämmän kuvan itsestään. Prosessiin kytkeytyy keskeisesti tila - Danielin kulkiessa talossaan, joka on hänen lapsuudenkotinsa, aistitodellisuus toimii mieleenpalauttajana: äänet ja tuoksut johdattavat hänet elämään menneisyyden muistoja uudelleen nykyhetkessä. Samalla talo ja huoneet personifioituvat ja minuus alkaa rakentua tilan kaltaiseksi. Uusien ovien ja huoneiden löytyminen symboloi Danielin muistojen selkeytymistä ja itseymmärryksen syvenemistä. Kirjoittamisen voi tulkita olevan psykoanalyyttinen prosessi, jossa omaelämäkerran minä keskustelee menneisyyden minänsä kanssa. Puhuja odottaa vastausta toiselta, vaikka vastaus löytyy paradoksaalisesti itsestä. Omaelämäkerran moniäänisyyttä korostavat edesmenneiden läheisten läsnäolo, Danielin eri ikävaiheiden identiteetit ja kaksoisolentojen hahmoissa esiintyvät minuudet. Kirjoittamisen avulla Daniel pyrkii pääsemään etäämmälle itsestään ja saavuttamaan minättömyyden tilan, jota käsitellään John Keatsilta peräisin olevan käsitteen "negatiivinen kyky" avulla. Alkutuuli on taiteilijaromaani, jossa taiteilijuutta edustavat siivet ja lentäminen kytkeytyvät mielikuvitukseen ja uusiutumiseen. Danielin tie taiteilijuutta edeltävään minättömyyteen on kuitenkin vaikea ja monet merkit viittaavat diletantin kohtaloon. Unenomaisen logiikan omaavan, fragmentaarisen kerronnan takaa on hahmotettavissa myös lainalaisuuksia. Muiden henkilöiden lyhyet elämäkerrat ovat heidän haavansa paljastavia episodeja, jotka muuttuvat osaksi Danielin elämäntarinaa. Danielin kirjallinen omakuva on montaasi, jossa eri tasossa olevat elementit, nykyhetki ja menneisyys, mielikuvitus, unet ja upotetut monologit rinnastuvat samaan tasoon. Daniel peilaa elettyä ja koettua koomisen peilirakenteen avulla, jossa hänen elämäänsä osallisena olleet menneisyyden henkilöt kulkevat narrikulkueen mukana. Toive eheästä minäkuvasta osoittautuu kuitenkin mahdottomaksi merkityssulkeuman todenvastaisuuden vuoksi. Urwind-nimen pohdinnasta liikkeelle lähtenyt omaelämäkerta päättyy syklistä liikettä mukaillen tilanteeseen, jossa päähenkilö hyväksyy elämän käsittämättömyyden ja luottaa omassa nimessään piilevään voimaan, tuuleen, viitaten samalla myös romaanin nimeen. Avainsanat: Bo Carpelan - muistot - tila - fragmentaarisuus - fiktiivinen omaelämäkerta

Tombstone of Meta Levy nee Daniel; Strangriede Cemetery; Hannover Cemeteries Tombs

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Tombstone of Meta Levy nee Daniel; Strangriede Cemetery; Hannover Cemeteries Tombs

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Tombstone of Meta Levy nee Daniel; Strangriede Cemetery; Hannover Cemeteries Tombs

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Tombstone of Meta Levy nee Daniel; Strangriede Cemetery; Hannover Cemeteries Tombs

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Leo Baeck with New York Mayor William O'Dwyer and Union of American Hebrew Congregations President Maurice N. Eisendrath, Oscar M. Lazrus and Rabbi Daniel L. Davis Portraits; Groups; Men

Page 12 of the "American Jewish Cavalcade" scrapbook of Leo Baeck in New York found in ROS 10 Folder 3