967 resultados para Early case detection


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The aetiology of secondary lymphoedema seems to be multifactorial, with acquired abnormalities as well as pre-existing conditions being contributory factors. Many characteristics bear inconsistent relationships to lymphoedema risk, and the few that are consistently associated with an increased risk of developing the condition, do not alone distinguish the at-risk population. Further, our current prevention and management recommendations are not backed by strong evidence. Consequently, there remains much to be learned about who gets it, how can it be prevented and how can we best treat it. Nonetheless, it is clear that lymphoedema is associated with adverse side effects, which have a profound impact on daily life, and that preliminary evidence suggests that early detection may lead to more effective treatment and lack of treatment may lead to progression. These represent important reasons as to why lymphoedema deserves clinical attention. However, several pragmatic issues must be considered when discussing whether a routine objective measure of lymphoedema could be integrated among the standard clinical care of those undertaking treatment for cancers known to be associated with the development of lymphoedema.

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Timely reporting, effective analyses and rapid distribution of surveillance data can assist in detecting the aberration of disease occurrence and further facilitate a timely response. In China, a new nationwide web-based automated system for outbreak detection and rapid response was developed in 2008. The China Infectious Disease Automated-alert and Response System (CIDARS) was developed by the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention based on the surveillance data from the existing electronic National Notifiable Infectious Diseases Reporting Information System (NIDRIS) started in 2004. NIDRIS greatly improved the timeliness and completeness of data reporting with real time reporting information via the Internet. CIDARS further facilitates the data analysis, aberration detection, signal dissemination, signal response and information communication needed by public health departments across the country. In CIDARS, three aberration detection methods are used to detect the unusual occurrence of 28 notifiable infectious diseases at the county level and to transmit that information either in real-time or on a daily basis. The Internet, computers and mobile phones are used to accomplish rapid signal generation and dissemination, timely reporting and reviewing of the signal response results. CIDARS has been used nationwide since 2008; all Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in China at the county, prefecture, provincial and national levels are involved in the system. It assists with early outbreak detection at the local level and prompts reporting of unusual disease occurrences or potential outbreaks to CDCs throughout the country.

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OBJECTIVE We examined the effect of an instructional video about the production of diagnostic sputum on case detection of tuberculosis (TB), and evaluated the acceptance of the video. TRIAL DESIGN Randomized controlled trial. METHODS We prepared a culturally adapted instructional video for sputum submission. We analyzed 200 presumptive TB cases coughing for more than two weeks who attended the outpatient department of the governmental Municipal Hospital in Mwananyamala (Dar es Salaam, Tanzania). They were randomly assigned to either receive instructions on sputum submission using the video before submission (intervention group, n = 100) or standard of care (control group, n = 100). Sputum samples were examined for volume, quality and presence of acid-fast bacilli by experienced laboratory technicians blinded to study groups. RESULTS Median age was 39.1 years (interquartile range 37.0-50.0); 94 (47%) were females, 106 (53%) were males, and 49 (24.5%) were HIV-infected. We found that the instructional video intervention was associated with detection of a higher proportion of microscopically confirmed cases (56%, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 45.7-65.9%, sputum smear positive patients in the intervention group versus 23%, 95% CI 15.2-32.5%, in the control group, p <0.0001), an increase in volume of specimen defined as a volume ≥3ml (78%, 95% CI 68.6-85.7%, versus 45%, 95% CI 35.0-55.3%, p <0.0001), and specimens less likely to be salivary (14%, 95% CI 7.9-22.4%, versus 39%, 95% CI 29.4-49.3%, p = 0.0001). Older age, but not the HIV status or sex, modified the effectiveness of the intervention by improving it positively. When asked how well the video instructions were understood, the majority of patients in the intervention group reported to have understood the video instructions well (97%). Most of the patients thought the video would be useful in the cultural setting of Tanzania (92%). CONCLUSIONS Sputum submission instructional videos increased the yield of tuberculosis cases through better quality of sputum samples. If confirmed in larger studies, instructional videos may have a substantial effect on the case yield using sputum microscopy and also molecular tests. This low-cost strategy should be considered as part of the efforts to control TB in resource-limited settings. TRIAL REGISTRATION Pan African Clinical Trials Registry PACTR201504001098231.

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The orientations of lines and edges are important in defining the structure of the visual environment, and observers can detect differences in line orientation within the first few hundred milliseconds of scene viewing. The present work is a psychophysical investigation of the mechanisms of early visual orientation-processing. In experiments with briefly presented displays of line elements, observers indicated whether all the elements were uniformly oriented or whether a uniquely oriented target was present among uniformly oriented nontargets. The minimum difference between nontarget and target orientations that was required for effective target-detection (the orientation increment threshold) varied little with the number of elements and their spatial density, but the percentage of correct responses in detection of a large orientation-difference increased with increasing element density. The differing variations with element density of thresholds and percent-correct scores may indicate the operation of more than one mechanism in early visual orientation-processIng. Reducing element length caused threshold to increase with increasing number of elements, showing that the effectiveness of rapid, spatially parallel orientation-processing depends on element length. Orientational anisotropy in line-target detection has been reported previously: a coarse periodic variation and some finer variations in orientation increment threshold with nontarget orientation have been found. In the present work, the prominence of the coarse variation in relation to finer variations decreased with increasing effective viewing duration, as if the operation of coarse orientation-processing mechanisms precedes the operation of finer ones. Orientational anisotropy was prominent even when observers lay horizontally and viewed displays by looking upwards through a black cylinder that excluded all possible visual references for orientation. So, gravitational and visual cues are not essential to the definition of an orientational reference frame for early vision, and such a reference can be well defined by retinocentric neural coding, awareness of body-axis orientation, or both.

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The sudden hydrocarbon influx from the formation into the wellbore poses a serious risk to the safety of the well. This sudden influx is termed a kick, which, if not controlled, may lead to a blowout. Therefore, early detection of the kick is crucial to minimize the possibility of a blowout occurrence. There is a high probability of delay in kick detection, apart from other issues when using a kick detection system that is exclusively based on surface monitoring. Down-hole monitoring techniques have a potential to detect a kick at its early stage. Down-hole monitoring could be particularly beneficial when the influx occurs as a result of a lost circulation scenario. In a lost circulation scenario, when the down-hole pressure becomes lower than the formation pore pressure, the formation fluid may starts to enter the wellbore. The lost volume of the drilling fluid is compensated by the formation fluid flowing into the well bore, making it difficult to identify the kick based on pit (mud tank) volume observations at the surface. This experimental study investigates the occurrence of a kick based on relative changes in the mass flow rate, pressure, density, and the conductivity of the fluid in the down-hole. Moreover, the parameters that are most sensitive to formation fluid are identified and a methodology to detect a kick without false alarms is reported. Pressure transmitter, the Coriolis flow and density meter, and the conductivity sensor are employed to observe the deteriorating well conditions in the down-hole. These observations are used to assess the occurrence of a kick and associated blowout risk. Monitoring of multiple down-hole parameters has a potential to improve the accuracy of interpretation related to kick occurrence, reduces the number of false alarms, and provides a broad picture of down-hole conditions. The down-hole monitoring techniques have a potential to reduce the kick detection period. A down-hole assembly of the laboratory scale drilling rig model and kick injection setup were designed, measuring instruments were acquired, a frame was fabricated, and the experimental set-up was assembled and tested. This set-up has the necessary features to evaluate kick events while implementing down-hole monitoring techniques. Various kick events are simulated on the drilling rig model. During the first set of experiments compressed air (which represents the formation fluid) is injected with constant pressure margin. In the second set of experiments the compressed air is injected with another pressure margin. The experiments are repeated with another pump (flow) rate as well. This thesis consists of three main parts. The first part gives the general introduction, motivation, outline of the thesis, and a brief description of influx: its causes, various leading and lagging indicators, and description of the several kick detection systems that are in practice in the industry. The second part describes the design and construction of the laboratory scale down-hole assembly of the drilling rig and kick injection setup, which is used to implement the proposed methodology for early kick detection. The third part discusses the experimental work, describes the methodology for early kick detection, and presents experimental results that show how different influx events affect the mass flow rate, pressure, conductivity, and density of the fluid in the down-hole, and the discussion of the results. The last chapter contains summary of the study and future research.

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O diagnóstico precoce e o tratamento são imprescindíveis para o controle da hanseníase, pois visam eliminar o mais precocemente possível as fontes de transmissão. O principal critério de cura da doença é o tempo de tratamento, relacionado às doses fixas da poliquimioterapia. O tempo de tratamento dos pacientes multibacilares foi reduzido de 24 para 12 doses em até 18 meses em 1998. Os objetivos desta tese foram: avaliar a detecção de casos de hanseníase entre os contatos dos pacientes e avaliar fatores de risco associados à piora das incapacidades físicas nos pacientes após a alta do tratamento poliquimioterápico com as 12 doses mensais. Dois artigos foram elaborados. O primeiro artigo avaliou características dos pacientes com hanseníase e de seus contatos associadas ao risco de adoecimento entre os contatos. O segundo artigo avaliou fatores de risco relacionados à piora das incapacidades físicas dos pacientes com hanseníase multibacilar, submetidos ao tratamento com 12 doses fixas da poliquimioterapia. Os resultados mostraram que o risco para hanseníase, relacionado aos contatos foi o tipo de convivência com o caso índice. Entre os fatores dos casos índices, a carga bacilar foi o único associado ao adoecimento dos contatos. Além desses fatores, os contatos que apresentam relação de consangüinidade com o caso índice e os contatos dos pacientes com menor nível de escolaridade mostraram maior chance de se apresentarem doentes no momento do diagnóstico do caso índice. A cicatriz BGC e a vacina recebida após o diagnóstico do caso índice contribuíram independentemente como fatores de proteção. A neuropatia piorou em 40% dos pacientes durante o período de 10 anos após a alta do tratamento. Esta piora foi associada à presença de incapacidades físicas e ao número de lesões cutâneas no momento do diagnóstico assim como à presença de neurite durante o acompanhamento.

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The early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) presents a challenge because of the lack of specific biomarkers. Serum/plasma microRNAs (miRNAs) can discriminate HCC patients from controls. We aimed to identify and evaluate HCC-associated plasma miRNAs originating from the liver as early biomarkers for detecting HCC. In this multicenter three-phase study, we first performed screening using both plasma (HCC before and after liver transplantation or liver hepatectomy) and tissue samples (HCC, para-carcinoma and cirrhotic tissues). Then, we evaluated the diagnostic potential of the miRNAs in two case-control studies (training and validation sets). Finally, we used two prospective cohorts to test the potential of the identified miRNAs for the early detection of HCC. During the screening phase, we identified ten miRNAs, eight of which (miR-20a-5p, miR-25-3p, miR-30a-5p, miR-92a-3p, miR-132-3p, miR-185-5p, miR-320a and miR-324-3p) were significantly overexpressed in the HBV-positive HCC patients compared with the HBV-positive cancer-free controls in both the training and validation sets, with a sensitivity of 0.866 and specificity of 0.646. Furthermore, we assessed the potential for early HCC detection of these eight newly identified miRNAs and three previously reported miRNAs (miR-192-5p, miR-21-5p and miR-375) in two prospective cohorts. Our meta-analysis revealed that four miRNAs (miR-20a-5p, miR-320a, miR-324-3p and miR-375) could be used as preclinical biomarkers (pmeta  < 0.05) for HCC. The expression profile of the eight-miRNA panel can be used to discriminate HCC patients from cancer-free controls, and the four-miRNA panel (alone or combined with AFP) could be a blood-based early detection biomarker for HCC screening.

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Few studies have addressed early cerebrovascular lethality in Brazil. Objective: To evaluate 10 and 28-day stroke case-fatality rates in three hospitals in three Brazilian cities. Methods: We described the stroke registries in Sao Paulo, Joao Pessoa, and Natal. Results: Out of a total of 962 first-ever events (mean age, 68.1 years-old; 53% men), 83.6% (804 cases) were classified as ischemic and 16.4% (158) as hemorrhagic stroke. Overall, the case-fatality rates and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for hemorrhagic stroke events were higher than for ischemic events, both at 10 (12.3%; 95% CI 7.2-17.4 versus 7.0%; 95% CI 5.3-8.8) and at 28 days (19.8%; 95% CI 13.6-26.0 versus 11.1%; 95% CI 8.9-13.3). Conclusions: We did not find any substantial differences in early case-fatality rates according to stroke subtypes, when comparing the three centers.

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The quality of conceptual business process models is highly relevant for the design of corresponding information systems. In particular, a precise measurement of model characteristics can be beneficial from a business perspective, helping to save costs thanks to early error detection. This is just as true from a software engineering point of view. In this latter case, models facilitate stakeholder communication and software system design. Research has investigated several proposals as regards measures for business process models, from a rather correlational perspective. This is helpful for understanding, for example size and complexity as general driving forces of error probability. Yet, design decisions usually have to build on thresholds, which can reliably indicate that a certain counter-action has to be taken. This cannot be achieved only by providing measures; it requires a systematic identification of effective and meaningful thresholds. In this paper, we derive thresholds for a set of structural measures for predicting errors in conceptual process models. To this end, we use a collection of 2,000 business process models from practice as a means of determining thresholds, applying an adaptation of the ROC curves method. Furthermore, an extensive validation of the derived thresholds was conducted by using 429 EPC models from an Australian financial institution. Finally, significant thresholds were adapted to refine existing modeling guidelines in a quantitative way.

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Bearing faults are the most common cause of wind turbine failures. Unavailability and maintenance cost of wind turbines are becoming critically important, with their fast growing in electric networks. Early fault detection can reduce outage time and costs. This paper proposes Anomaly Detection (AD) machine learning algorithms for fault diagnosis of wind turbine bearings. The application of this method on a real data set was conducted and is presented in this paper. For validation and comparison purposes, a set of baseline results are produced using the popular one-class SVM methods to examine the ability of the proposed technique in detecting incipient faults.

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El Ministerio de la Protección Social encargó a la Asociación Colombiana de Neumología Pediátrica el desarrollo de una Guía Clínica sobre asma en pediatría. La Guía establece recomendaciones basadas en la mejor evidencia clínica disponible y en la racionalización del gasto. El grupo desarrollador de la guía (GDG) fue conformado por un grupo multidisciplinario que asegura que todas las áreas del conocimiento pertinentes de la enfermedad estén representadas y que toda la evidencia científica sea evaluada de forma crítica. Se aplicó la matriz de decisión: adaptación o desarrollo de novo de GPC, se eligió adaptar una o más GPC. Con base en lo anterior y con la aplicación de la matriz de decisión – adaptación o desarrollo de novo de guías de práctica clínica se decidió adaptar para Colombia las guías de atención integral de la BTS y el NAEPP, tomando como prioritaria para la adaptación la guía de atención integral de la BTS; en el área de terapia respiratoria e inhaloterapia, las preguntas se respondieron de novo por no encontrar la mejor información y aplicabilidad para nuestro medio. El GDG realizó una alianza estratégica con el Instituto de Efectividad Clínica Sanitaria (IECS) de la ciudad de Buenos Aires, este es un grupo de expertos en evaluaciones económicas de medicamentos y tecnologías sanitarias quien participó en el proceso de la elaboración de las evaluaciones económicas contenidas en la Guía y en la definición del alcance de dichas evaluaciones.

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Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

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Mais de 80.000 casos de hanseníase foram diagnosticados nos últimos 20 anos no Pará e, ainda hoje, com um coeficiente de detecção anual de 50/100.000 habitantes (três vezes superior à média nacional) a doença permanece como um grave problema de saúde pública neste Estado. O objetivo geral deste estudo foi desenvolver um método integrando a epidemiologia espacial e sorológica como ferramenta de combate à hanseníase no Pará. Inicialmente, foram realizadas visitas domiciliares a famílias de pessoas afetadas pela hanseníase, diagnosticadas nos últimos cinco a seis anos, em oito municípios de diferentes regiões do Estado. A equipe de pesquisadores com experiência no manejo da hanseníase, composta por médicos dermatologistas, enfermeiros, fisioterapeutas e técnicos de laboratório, realizou exame clínico dermatoneurológico em 1.945 contatos intradomiciliares de 531 casos notificados e coletou amostra de sangue para pesquisa sorológica de anticorpos IgM anti-PGL-I. Além disso, 1.592 estudantes de 37 escolas públicas do ensino fundamental e médio, com idade entre 6 e 20 anos, também foram selecionados aleatoriamente para serem submetidos à mesma avaliação. As residências dos casos notificados, bem como a dos estudantes incluídos no estudo foram georreferenciadas para a análise da distribuição espacial da hanseníase. Dois anos mais tarde, com base na informação sorológica prévia, a equipe de pesquisadores retornou a dois municípios para reavaliar os indivíduos incluídos no estudo. Adicionalmente, duas novas escolas públicas localizadas em áreas de alto risco de hanseníase, determinadas pela análise da distribuição espacial da doença em um dos municípios, foram selecionadas para avaliar-se a importância da informação geográfica na detecção de casos novos. Na avaliação inicial, 156 (8%) contatos e 63 (4%) estudantes foram diagnosticados como casos novos de hanseníase; 806 (41,4%) contatos e 777 (48,8%) estudantes foram soropositivos para anti-PGL-I. A análise da distribuição espacial dos casos registrados da doença em um dos municípios selecionados indicou que a hanseníase apresenta um padrão heterogêneo, com clusters de alta e baixa taxa de detecção anual em áreas específicas da cidade (p < 0,01), e que 94,7% dos estudantes examinados residiam a menos de 200 metros de um caso registrado durante os seis anos anteriores ao estudo. No seguimento, a incidência de hanseníase foi significativamente maior entre os indivíduos soropositivos (22,3%) quando comparados aos soronegativos (9.4%) (OR = 2,7; IC95% = 1,29 – 5,87; p = 0,01); também foi significativamente mais alta entre moradores de residências com pelo menos um sujeito soropositivo (17,4%), comparada aos de residências sem nenhum morador soropositivo (7,4%) (OR = 2,6; IC95% = 1,18 – 5,91; p = 0,02). A seleção de escolas localizadas em áreas de maior risco dentro do município aumentou significativamente a eficiência na detecção de casos novos entre escolares (8,2%), quando comparada aos resultados obtidos em escolas selecionadas aleatoriamente (4%) (p = 0,04). Os dados mostram alta taxa de prevalência oculta de hanseníase e de infecção subclínica pelo M. leprae no Pará. A epidemiologia espacial e sorológica são ferramentas eficazes para aumentar a detecção precoce de casos novos e deveriam ser utilizadas pelos municípios do Pará para que o Estado possa finalmente alcançar as metas de controle da hanseníase.