Spatial-temporal excess mortality patterns of the 1918-1919 influenza pandemic in Spain

Background: The impact of socio-demographic factors and baseline health on the mortality burden of seasonal and pandemic influenza remains debated. Here we analyzed the spatial-temporal mortality patterns of the 1918 influenza pandemic in Spain, one of the countries of Europe that experienced the highest mortality burden. Methods: We analyzed monthly death rates from respiratory diseases and all-causes across 49 provinces of Spain, including the Canary and Balearic Islands, during the period January-1915 to June-1919. We estimated the influenza-related excess death rates and risk of death relative to baseline mortality by pandemic wave and province. We then explored the association between pandemic excess mortality rates and health and socio-demographic factors, which included population size and age structure, population density, infant mortality rates, baseline death rates, and urbanization. Results: Our analysis revealed high geographic heterogeneity in pandemic mortality impact. We identified 3 pandemic waves of varying timing and intensity covering the period from Jan-1918 to Jun-1919, with the highest pandemic-related excess mortality rates occurring during the months of October-November 1918 across all Spanish provinces. Cumulative excess mortality rates followed a south-north gradient after controlling for demographic factors, with the North experiencing highest excess mortality rates. A model that included latitude, population density, and the proportion of children living in provinces explained about 40% of the geographic variability in cumulative excess death rates during 1918-19, but different factors explained mortality variation in each wave. Conclusions: A substantial fraction of the variability in excess mortality rates across Spanish provinces remained unexplained, which suggests that other unidentified factors such as comorbidities, climate and background immunity may have affected the 1918-19 pandemic mortality rates. Further archeo-epidemiological research should concentrate on identifying settings with combined availability of local historical mortality records and information on the prevalence of underlying risk factors, or patient-level clinical data, to further clarify the drivers of 1918 pandemic influenza mortality.

Ascensão e queda na mortalidade por doença isquêmica do coração no século XX : a epidemia nos EUA e um inquérito epidemiológico sobre sua causa

Os fatores de risco clássicos para o desenvolvimento de doença isquêmica do coração (DIC) explicam menos de 50% da queda na mortalidade observada desde 1950. A transição em curso, do paradigma degenerativo para o inflamatório/infeccioso, requer nova interpretação causal das tendências temporais. Este é um estudo ecológico, baseado em dados dos Estados Unidos, que mostra, em homens e mulheres, uma associação entre a distribuição etária da mortalidade por influenza e pneumonia (I&P) associada à pandemia de influenza de 1918-1919 na faixa dos 10 aos 49 anos e a distribuição da mortalidade por DIC, entre 1920 e 1985, em sobreviventes das coortes de nascimento correspondentes. Mostra ainda uma correlação negativa significativa (r = -0,68, p = 0,042) entre o excesso de mortalidade por I&P acumulado em epidemias entre 1931-1940 (utilizado como indicador da persistência da circulação de vírus H1N1 aliada à vulnerabilidade à infecção) e a ordem do início do declínio na mortalidade por DIC, em nove divisões geográficas dos Estados Unidos. Os dados sugerem, à luz do conhecimento biológico atual, que a pandemia de influenza de 1918 (e as que se seguiram até 1957) pudesse ter tido papel determinante na epidemia de mortalidade por DIC registrada no século XX.

La «gripe española» según el diario España Médica (1918-1919)

El siglo XX se vio castigado por una pandemia de gripe que azotó el mundo durante 3 oleadas distribuidas entre febrero de 1918 y junio de 1919. La enorme difusión y gravedad de sus casos caracterizaron a la enfermedad, que fue etiquetada con el nombre de «gripe española». El origen de esta denominación está en la ausencia de censura mediática en España, país no contendiente en la Primera Guerra Mundial, lo que propició la libre circulación de noticias sobre la pandemia, que dieron lugar al equívoco. La pandemia puso en evidencia la escasa efectividad de los recursos médicos de la época, pese al apogeo de las nuevas especialidades nacidas en la era bacteriológica. El impacto social y magnitud de la epidemia fueron recogidos, entre otros, por el periódico España Médica. Fundado y dirigido por el pediatra José Ignacio Eleizegui López (1879-1956), el análisis de las noticias de ese periodo aporta una visión sobre las claves del desarrollo de la enfermedad, la gestión administrativa y los recursos terapéuticos y preventivos empleados.

A gripe de longe e de perto: comparações entre as pandemias de 1918 e 2009

Neste debate, historiadores latino-americanos comparam a pandemia de gripe de 1918-1919 com a que varre o continente em 2009, sobretudo as experiências de México, Argentina e Brasil. Analisam as estratégias adotadas nos dois momentos, com ênfase em isolamento, vigilância em portos e aeroportos, intervenções nas cidades. Comparam a atuação dos Estados nacionais e governos locais, a posição dos médicos e dos meios de comunicação e o comportamento das populações, especialmente no tocante ao medo e à morte. Analisam o desempenho das estruturas de assistência às populações e as medidas terapêuticas e profiláticas recomendadas por órgãos públicos de saúde, por interesses privados ligados à venda de medicamentos e pelas medicinas populares e caseiras. O debate trata, ainda, da influência que a experiência de 1918 teve sobre as avaliações da crise atual, bem como do legado que deixará para o futuro.

Anticipated behaviours of emergency prehospital medical care providers during an influenza pandemic

Introduction: Emergency prehospital medical care providers are frontline health workers during emergencies. However, little is known about their attitudes, perceptions, and likely behaviors during emergency conditions. Understanding these attitudes and behaviors is crucial to mitigating the psychological and operational effects of biohazard events such as pandemic influenza, and will support the business continuity of essential prehospital services. ----- ----- Problem: This study was designed to investigate the association between knowledge and attitudes regarding avian influenza on likely behavioral responses of Australian emergency prehospital medical care providers in pandemic conditions. ----- ----- Methods: Using a reply-paid postal questionnaire, the knowledge and attitudes of a national, stratified, random sample of the Australian emergency prehospital medical care workforce in relation to pandemic influenza were investigated. In addition to knowledge and attitudes, there were five measures of anticipated behavior during pandemic conditions: (1) preparedness to wear personal protective equipment (PPE); (2) preparedness to change role; (3) willingness to work; and likely refusal to work with colleagues who were exposed to (4) known and (5) suspected influenza. Multiple logistic regression models were constructed to determine the independent predictors of each of the anticipated behaviors, while controlling for other relevant variables. ----- ----- Results: Almost half (43%) of the 725 emergency prehospital medical care personnel who responded to the survey indicated that they would be unwilling to work during pandemic conditions; one-quarter indicated that they would not be prepared to work in PPE; and one-third would refuse to work with a colleague exposed to a known case of pandemic human influenza. Willingness to work during a pandemic (OR = 1.41; 95% CI = 1.0–1.9), and willingness to change roles (OR = 1.44; 95% CI = 1.04–2.0) significantly increased with adequate knowledge about infectious agents generally. Generally, refusal to work with exposed (OR = 0.48; 95% CI = 0.3–0.7) or potentially exposed (OR = 0.43; 95% CI = 0.3–0.6) colleagues significantly decreased with adequate knowledge about infectious agents. Confidence in the employer’s capacity to respond appropriately to a pandemic significantly increased employee willingness to work (OR = 2.83; 95% CI = 1.9–4.1); willingness to change roles during a pandemic (OR = 1.52; 95% CI = 1.1–2.1); preparedness to wear PPE (OR = 1.68; 95% CI = 1.1–2.5); and significantly decreased the likelihood of refusing to work with colleagues exposed to (suspected) influenza (OR = 0.59; 95% CI = 0.4–0.9). ----- ----- Conclusions:These findings indicate that education and training alone will not adequately prepare the emergency prehospital medical workforce for a pandemic. It is crucial to address the concerns of ambulance personnel and the perceived concerns of their relationship with partners in order to maintain an effective prehospital emergency medical care service during pandemic conditions.

La "sortie de guerre" des enfants français : le cas des lettres envoyées au président Woodrow Wilson (1918‐1919)

L’application aux civils du concept de « sortie de guerre » offre aux historiens de nouvelles pistes de recherche. Bien que la mobilisation culturelle de l’enfance dans la Grande Guerre ait fait l’objet de plusieurs études depuis les dernières années, le processus de démobilisation reste, quant à lui, peu exploré. Ce mémoire s’intéressera donc à la « sortie de guerre » chez les enfants français, à travers des sources inédites : des lettres adressées au président des États-Unis, Woodrow Wilson, à la fin de 1918. L’analyse met en lumière la perception des enfants sur la paix, la guerre, les Américains, et les changements de leur quotidien depuis l’armistice. Après une première partie historiographique, le deuxième chapitre portera sur la représentation de Wilson, des Américains et de la paix. Dans le dernier chapitre seront analysés le quotidien des enfants dans les mois suivant l’armistice, les représentations de la guerre et le processus de démobilisation. Fin 1918, la guerre tient encore beaucoup de place dans les propos des enfants et peu de signes de démobilisation émergent de leurs lettres. Ainsi, le président américain est représenté comme le sauveur de la France et le grand vainqueur de la guerre plutôt qu’en apôtre de la paix. Le sujet principal des lettres porte ainsi sur la reconnaissance et la gratitude des enfants envers le président et les États-Unis pour leur participation à la guerre et pour l’aide à la victoire. Les valeurs et le passé communs entre les deux pays alliés, exploités par la propagande de guerre, sont soulignés par les enfants. La fin de la guerre commence à peine à se faire ressentir dans le quotidien des enfants. La période est marquée par les célébrations de la victoire. De plus, la peur tend à s’atténuer avec la fin des violences de guerre et des nouveaux deuils. Les perturbations de la guerre demeurent cependant chez plusieurs enfants, particulièrement chez les réfugiés et les orphelins de guerre : la pauvreté, les séparations familiales et les privations alimentaires en affectent ainsi plusieurs. La perpétuation de ce climat de guerre influence la démobilisation des enfants, qui manifestent leur patriotisme et leur haine de l’ennemi. Les représentations de l’ennemi et des combattants du temps de la guerre prévalent donc encore, mais les enfants expriment néanmoins leur lassitude du conflit et leur désir d’un rapide retour à la normale.

Spanska sjukan inom Nås provinsialläkaredistrikt 1918 - 1919 med särskild hänsyn tagen till Dala-Järna och Vansbro

Denna uppsats har till syfte att få en överblick av hälsoläget inom Nås provinsialläkaredistrikt under hösten 1918 och våren 1919, då spanska sjukan grasserade. Uppsatsen undersöker vilken belastning spanska sjukan blev för epidemisjukvården och hur kommunen sörjde för den under epidemin. Mortaliteten under spanska sjukan visade ett liknande mönster som i andra delar av världen där ett stort antal unga människor avled. I undersökningen belyses även könstillhörigheten samt yrkeskategorisering av de döda. Under epidemins inledning var männen i majoritet men senare under epidemin blir det flest kvinnor, som avled i sviterna av spanskan. Mortalitetens yrkeskategorisering visar en klar majoritet för kroppsarbetare av olika slag samt hustrur till hemmansägare eller skogsarbetare och industriarbetare. Dödligheten var störst inom Vansbro municipalsamhälle under epidemin, beroende på att järnvägen och många resande passerade där. Pressens rapportering visar att Vansbro / Dala – Järna drabbades hårt av spanska sjukan.Som källmaterial användes provincialläkarrapporter från medicinalstyrelsens arkiv, kommunalnämndens och hälsovårdsnämndens protokoll, dödböcker och tidningartiklar ur tre lokala dagstidningar.

The epidemiology of the first wave of H1N1 influenza pandemic in Australia : a population-based study

Objectives: Following the recent H1N1 influenza pandemic we were able to describe seropositivity in a repre-sentative sample of adults prior to the availability of a specific vaccine.

Methods: This cross-sectional serological study is set in the Barwon Statistical Division, Australia. Blood samples were collected from September 2009 through to May 2010, from 1184 individuals (569 men, 615 women; median age 61.7 years), randomly selected from electoral rolls. Serum was analysed for specific H1N1 immunity using a haemagglutina-tion inhibition test. A self-report provided information about symptoms, demographics and healthcare. Associations be-tween H1N1 infection, gender, households and occupation were determined using logistic regression, adjusting for age.

Results: Of 1184 individuals, 129 (58 men, 71 women) were seropositive. Gender-adjusted age-specific prevalence was: 8.3% 20-29 years, 13.5% 30-39, 10.4% 40-49, 6.5% 50-59, 9.7% 60-69, 10.3% 70-79, 18.8% 80+. Standardised preva-lence was 10.3% (95%CI 9.6-11.0). No associations were detected between seropositivity and gender (OR=0.82, 95%CI 0.57-1.19) or being a healthcare worker (OR=1.43, 95%CI 0.62-3.29). Smokers (OR=1.86, 95%CI 1.09-3.15) and those socioeconomically disadvantaged (OR=2.52, 95%CI 1.24-5.13) were at increased risk. Among 129 seropositive individu-als, 31 reported symptoms that were either mild (n = 13) or moderate (time off work, doctor visit, n = 18). For age <60, 39.6% of seropositive individuals reported symptoms, whereas the proportion was 13.2% for age 60+.

Conclusions: Following the pandemic, the proportion of seropositive adults was low, but significant subclinical infection was found. Social disadvantage increased the likelihood of infection. The low symptom rate for older ages may relate to pre-existing immunity.

Mário de Andrade n\'A Gazeta (1918-1919): um \"plumitivo incipiente\"?

A presente dissertação apresenta uma leitura dos textos de Mário de Andrade publicados no jornal A Gazeta em 1918 e 1919. Partindo do episódio do \'mal-entendido de crítica\', em que o autor e o jornal entram em conflito, empreende-se uma análise que busca esclarecer o contexto de produção dos artigos - que têm como temas a música executada nos teatros e a guerra - em relação à organização dos \'mundos da arte\' no período e à trajetória de Mário de Andrade, ingressante nos círculos intelectuais e artísticos. Trata-se de entender o conflito não somente como acontecimento particular na trajetória das duas partes, mas como representativo sob um ponto de vista social em um momento histórico da formação do campo artístico na cidade, especialmente em relação à música. Conclui-se do conflito que o posicionamento crítico de Mário de Andrade, que formula propostas de mudanças e induz os leitores e ouvintes a refletir sobre o que viam nos palcos, não estava de acordo com o que era esperado para a crítica musical no jornal.

La revolución universitaria, 1918-1919 ...

Imprint covered by label: Buenos Aires, J. Menéndez.

Ley de contribución inmobiliaria para los Departamentos del litoral e interior en los ejercicios 1917-1918 y 1918-1919 mandada regir para los ejercicios 1919-1920 y 1920-1921 por la ley que la modifica, de fecha 6 de febrero de 1920 y su decreto reglamentario.

Mode of access: Internet.

Repertorio de los documentos históricos procedentes del Archivo de Indias, editados en los años 1918-1919-1920-1921,

Forms an index to the Colección de publicaciones históricas de la Biblioteca del Congreso argentino.