A simulation study on the statistical monitoring of condemnation rates from slaughterhouses for syndromic surveillance: an evaluation based on Swiss data

Syndromic surveillance (SyS) systems currently exploit various sources of health-related data, most of which are collected for purposes other than surveillance (e.g. economic). Several European SyS systems use data collected during meat inspection for syndromic surveillance of animal health, as some diseases may be more easily detected post-mortem than at their point of origin or during the ante-mortem inspection upon arrival at the slaughterhouse. In this paper we use simulation to evaluate the performance of a quasi-Poisson regression (also known as an improved Farrington) algorithm for the detection of disease outbreaks during post-mortem inspection of slaughtered animals. When parameterizing the algorithm based on the retrospective analyses of 6 years of historic data, the probability of detection was satisfactory for large (range 83-445 cases) outbreaks but poor for small (range 20-177 cases) outbreaks. Varying the amount of historical data used to fit the algorithm can help increasing the probability of detection for small outbreaks. However, while the use of a 0·975 quantile generated a low false-positive rate, in most cases, more than 50% of outbreak cases had already occurred at the time of detection. High variance observed in the whole carcass condemnations time-series, and lack of flexibility in terms of the temporal distribution of simulated outbreaks resulting from low reporting frequency (monthly), constitute major challenges for early detection of outbreaks in the livestock population based on meat inspection data. Reporting frequency should be increased in the future to improve timeliness of the SyS system while increased sensitivity may be achieved by integrating meat inspection data into a multivariate system simultaneously evaluating multiple sources of data on livestock health.

Identification and characterization of virulence factors in Enterococcus faecalis

Enterococci are one of the leading causes of nosocomial infections, and Enterococcus faecalis causes the majority of enterococcal infections. However, the mechanisms of enterococcal pathogenesis are still not yet understood. In our initial screening of E. faecalis strain OG1RF genomic libraries, autolysin and a homolog of a protein of Enterococcus faecium previously designated P54 were found to be two major antigens that reacted with human patient sera, and an antigen designated MH-1 antigen that reacted with serum from a endocarditis patient was also identified. To explore a possible role for these antigens in enterococcal infections, the genes encoding these three antigens were disrupted in Enterococcus faecalis OG1RF. ^ To explore a possible role of an E. faecalis gelatinase (encoded by gelE), which belongs to a family of Zn-metalloproteases that have been shown to be virulence factors in other organisms, in enterococcal infections, an insertion mutant was constructed in OG1RF and tested in the mouse peritonitis model. The mice infected with the gelE mutant showed a significantly prolonged survival compared to the wild type strain. To study the expression of gelE, the regions flanking gelE were sequenced. Sequence analysis of the gelE flanking regions revealed three genes (fsrA, fsrB and fsrC) upstream of gelE that show homology to the genes in a locus (agr) that globally regulates the expression of virulence factors in Staphylococcus aureus and one open reading frame (sprE) with homology to bacterial serine protease downstream of gelE. ^ In conclusion, in this study of identification of possible virulence factors in E. faecalis surface and secreted proteins, of three genes encoding antigens detected by human patient sera, none could be shown to effect virulence in the mouse peritonitis model. Inactivation of one of these antigens (autolysin) was shown to slightly increase the tolerance of E. faecalis to penicillin. A serine protease and a locus (fsr) that regulates the expression of gelE and sprE were shown to be important for enterococcal infection in the mouse peritonitis model. (Abstract shortened by UMI.)^

Identification and characterization of antigens and potential virulence factors in Enterococcus

Enterococci are normal flora in the human intestinal tract, and also one of the leading causes of nosocomial infections, with most of the clinical isolates being Enterococcus faecalis and Enterococcus faecium. Despite extensive studies on the antibiotic resistance, the pathogenicity of enterococci is not well understood, especially for E. faecium. To identify potential virulence factors based on their antigenicity during infection, E. faecium genomic libraries were constructed and screened using sera from patients with E. faecium endocarditis. ^ As one of my projects, total polysaccharides were extracted from E. faecalis OG1RF and from two epa mutants constructed previously, TX5179 and TX5180, and western blots with patient sera showed that an immuno-reactive polysaccharide present in wild type OG1RF was not produced by either of the two epa mutants. The epa mutants were more sensitive to ethanol stress, neutrophil killing and neutrophil phagocytosis than the wild type OG1RF. ^ Expression of virulence factors is commonly regulated by two component systems. A BLAST search was performed to identify potential two component systems in the E. faecalis V583 genome database using PhoP/PhoS as query sequences, and 11 gene pairs were identified, seven of which were disrupted in E. faecalis OGIRF. ^ Finally, an in vitro translocation model was established for enterococci. E. faecalis strain OG1RF and E. faecium strain DO were shown to be able to translocate across a T84 monolayer, while E. coli strain DH5α and E. faecalis strain E1 could not. ^ In conclusion, several E. faecium antigens expressed in infection (whose antibodies present in sera from patients with E. faecium endocarditis) were identified, two of which, SagA and GlyA, were characterized and suggested to be involved in cell wall metabolism. E. faecalis epa gene cluster (involving in polysaccharide biosynthesis and known to be involved in virulence of E. faecalis in mice) was shown to be involved in hindering neutrophil killing. Several two-component systems were identified in E. faecalis and two of which, EtaRS and EtbRS, were involved in E. faecalis virulence in a mouse peritonitis model.^

Long-term central venous catheter-related candidemia: A new approach towards diagnosis and management

A case-series analysis of approximately 811 cancer patients who developed Candidemia between 1989 and 1998 and seen at M. D. Anderson Cancer Center, was studied to assess the impact and timing of central venous catheter (CVC) removal on the outcome of fungal bloodstream infections in cancer patients with primary catheter-related Candidemia as well as secondary infections. ^ This study explored the diagnosis and the management of vascular catheter-associated fungemia in patients with cancer. The microbiologic and clinical factors were determined to predict catheter-related Candidemia. Those factors included, in addition to basic demographics, the underlying malignancy, chemotherapy, neutropenia, and other salient data. Statistical analyses included univariate and multivariate logistic regression to determine the outcome of Candidemia in relation to the timing of catheter removal, type of species, and to identify predictors of catheter-related infections. ^ The conclusions of the study aim at enhancing our mastery of issues involving CVC removal and potentially will have an impact on the management of nosocomial bloodstream infections related to timing of CVC removal and the optimal duration of treatment of catheter-related Candidemia. ^

Emerging Identities in Colonial Tunisia: "Alliancist" and Zionist Representations in Tunis prior to World War I

By 1900 the Jewish community of Tunisia witnessed the emergence of new competing identities: “assimilationist” of the Alliance Israelite Universelle, termed “Alliancist,” and Zionist. Strikingly, two members of the same family in Tunis, Raymond Valensi, President of the AIU Regional Committee, and Alfred Valensi, President of the Zionist Federation, led the struggle for their separate causes. In his discussion of identity in the modern world, Homi Bhabha asks, "How do strategies of representation or empowerment come to be formulated in the competing claims of communities…where, despite shared histories of …discrimination, the exchange of values, meanings and priorities…may be profoundly antagonistic…?" It is in this context that the claims of the Alliance and Zionism will be examined prior to World War I, based on the Archives of the AIU and on such secondary sources as the indispensable work of Paul Sebag. The tensions between the Alliancists and Zionists continued until the outbreak of World War II, as the French-speaking Jews of Tunisia sought to define their individual and collective identities.

International Money and Finance

We discuss the effectiveness of pegged exchange rate regimes from an historical perspective, drawing conclusions for their effectiveness today. Starting with the classical gold standard period, we point out that a succession of pegged regimes have ended in failure; except for the first, which was ended by the outbreak of World War I, all of the others we discuss have been ended by adverse economic developments for which the regimes themselves were partly responsible. Prior to World War II the main problem was a shortage of monetary gold that we argue is implicated as a cause of the Great Depression. After World War II, more particularly from the late-1960s, the main problem has been a surfeit of the main international reserve asset, the US dollar. This has led to generalized inflation in the 1970s and into the 1980s. Today, excessive dollar international base money creation is again a problem that could have serious consequences for world economic stability.

Comprehensive environmental study in high risk areas for cancer patients comparing air and water Aspergillus species samples

Background. Nosocomial invasive aspergillosis (a highly fatal disease) is an increasing problem for immunocompromised patients. Aspergillus spp. can be transmitted via air (most commonly) and by water. ^ The hypothesis for this prospective study was that there is an association between patient occupancy, housekeeping practices, patients, visitors, and Aspergillus spp. loading. Rooms were sampled as not terminally cleaned (dirty) and terminally cleaned (clean). The secondary hypothesis was that Aspergillus spp. positive samples collected from more than one sampling location within the same patient room represent the same isolate. ^ Methods. Between April and October 2004, 2873 environmental samples (713 air, 607 water, 1256 surface and 297 spore traps) were collected in and around 209 “clean” and “dirty” patient rooms in a large cancer center hospital. Water sources included aerosolized water from patient room showerheads, sinks, drains, and toilets. Bioaerosol samples were from the patient room and from the running shower, flushing toilet, and outside the building. The surface samples included sink and shower drains, showerheads, and air grills. Aspergillus spp. positive samples were also sent for PCR, molecular typing (n = 89). ^ Results. All water samples were negative for Aspergillus spp. There were a total of 130 positive culturable samples (5.1%). The predominant species found was Aspergillus niger. Of the positive culturable samples, 106 (14.9%) were air and 24 (3.8%) were surface. There were 147 spore trap samples, and 49.5% were positive for Aspergillus/Penicillum spp. Of the culturable positive samples sent for PCR, 16 were indistinguishable matches. There was no significant relationship between air and water samples and positive samples from the same room. ^ Conclusion. Primarily patients, visitors and staff bring the Aspergillus spp. into the hospital. The high number of A. niger samples suggests the spores are entering the hospital from outdoors. Eliminating the materials brought to the patient floors from the outside, requiring employees, staff, and visitors to wear cover up over their street clothes, and improved cleaning procedures could further reduce positive samples. Mold strains change frequently; it is probably more significant to understand pathogenicity of viable spores than to commit resources on molecular strain testing on environmental samples alone. ^

Risk factors for spinal surgical site infection

Background. Surgical site infections (SSI) are one of the most common nosocomial infections in the United States. This study was conducted following an increase in the rate of SSI following spinal procedures at the study hospital. ^ Methods. This study examined patient and hospital associated risk factors for SSI using existing data on patients who had spinal surgery performed at the study hospital between December 2003 and August 2005. There were 59 patients with SSI identified as cases; controls were randomly selected from patients who had spinal procedures performed at the study hospital during the study period, but did not develop infection. Of the 245 original records reviewed, 5% were missing more than half the variables and were eliminated from the data set. A total of 234 patients were included in the final analysis, representing 55 cases and 179 controls. Multivariable analysis was conducted using logistic regression to control for confounding variables. ^ Results. Three variables were found to be significant risk factors for SSI in the study population: presence of comorbidities (odds ratio 3.15, 95% confidence interval 1.20 to 8.26), cut time above the population median of 100 minutes (odds ratio 2.98, 95% confidence interval 1.12 to 5.49), and use of iodine only for preoperative skin antisepsis (odds ratio 0.16, 95% confidence interval 0.06 to 0.45). Several risk factors of specific concern to the study hospital, such as operating room, hospital staff involved in the procedures and workers' compensation status, were not shown to be statistically significant. In addition, multiple factors that have been identified in prior studies, such as method of hair removal, smoking status, or incontinence, were not shown to be statistically significant in this population. ^ Conclusions. This study confirms that increased cut time is a risk for post-operative infection. Use of iodine only was found to decrease risk of infection; further study is recommended in a population with higher usage of chlorhexadine gluconate. Presence of comorbidities at the time of surgery was also found to be a risk factor for infection; however, specific comorbidities were not studied. ^

Host risk factors for rifamycin-resistant clostridium difficile infection: A case control study

Objective. To evaluate the host risk factors associated with rifamycin-resistant Clostridium difficile (C. diff) infection in hospitalized patients compared to rifamycin-susceptible C.diff infection.^ Background. C. diff is the most common definable cause of nosocomial diarrhea affecting elderly hospitalized patients taking antibiotics for prolonged durations. The epidemiology of Clostridium difficile associated disease is now changing with the reports of a new hypervirulent strain causing hospital outbreaks. This new strain is associated with increased disease severity and mortality. The conventional therapy for C. diff includes metronidazole and vancomycin but high recurrence rates and treatment failures are now becoming a major concern. Rifamycin antibiotics are being developed as a new therapeutic option to treat C. diff infection after their efficacy was established in a few in vivo and in vitro studies. There are some recent studies that report an association between the hypervirulent strain and emerging rifamycin resistance. These findings assess the need for clinical studies to better understand the efficacy of rifamycin drugs against C. diff.^ Methods. This is a hospital-based, matched case-control study using de-identified data drawn from two prospective cohort studies involving C. diff patients at St Luke's Hospital. The C. diff isolates from these patients are screened for rifamycin resistance using agar dilution methods for minimum inhibitory concentrations (MIC) as part of Dr Zhi-Dong Jiang's study. Twenty-four rifamycin-rifamycin resistant C. diff cases were identified and matched with one rifamycin susceptible C. diff control on the basis of ± 10 years of age and hospitalization 30 days before or after the case. De-identified data for the 48 subjects was obtained from Dr Kevin Garey's clinical study at St Luke's Hospital enrolling C. diff patients. It was reviewed to gather information about host risk factors, outcome variables and relevant clinical characteristic.^ Results. Medical diagnosis at the time of admission (p = 0.0281) and history of chemotherapy (p = 0.022) were identified as a significant risk factor while hospital stay ranging from 1 week to 1 month and artificial feeding were identified as an important outcome variable (p = 0.072 and p = 0.081 respectively). Horn's Index assessing the severity of underlying illness and duration of antibiotics for cases and controls showed no significant difference.^ Conclusion. The study was a small project designed to identify host risk factors and understand the clinical implications of rifamycin-resistance. The study was underpowered and a larger sample size is needed to validate the results.^

Evaluation of the association between cryptosporidiosis outbreaks and two interactive water fountain parks: Epidemiologic analysis and implications for public health

Background. A community-wide outbreak of cryptosporidiosis occurred in Dallas County during the summer of 2008. A subset of cases occurring with onset of illness within a 2 week interval was epidemiologically linked to 2 neighborhood interactive water fountain parks. ^ Methods. A case control study was conducted to evaluate risk factors associated with developing illness with cryptosporidiosis from the fountain parks. Cases were selected from a line list from the epidemiological study. The selection for the controls was either healthy family members or a daycare center nearby. Cases and controls were not matched. ^ Results. Interviews were completed for 44 fountain park attendees who met case definition and 54 community controls. Twenty-seven percent (27.3%) of the cases and 13.0% of the controls were between the ages of 0–4 years. Thirty-nine percent (38.6%) of the cases and 24.1% of the controls were between the ages of 5–13 years. Fourteen percent (13.6%) of the cases and 33.3% of the controls were between the ages of 14–31 years. Twenty percent (20.5%) of the cases and 29.6% of the controls were between the ages of 32–63 years. 47.7% of the cases and 42.6% of the controls were males. Fountain park attendees who reported having been splashed in the face with water were 10 times more likely to become ill than controls (OR = 10.0, 95% CI = 2.8–35.1). Persons who reported having swallowed water from the interactive fountains were 34 times more likely to become ill than controls (OR = 34.3, 95%CI = 9.3–125.7). ^ Conclusion. Prompt reporting of cases, identification of outbreak sources, and immediate implementation of remediation measures were critical in curtailing further transmission from these particular sites through the remainder of the season. This investigation underscores the potential for cryptosporidiosis outbreaks to occur in interactive fountain parks, and the need for enhanced preventive measures in these settings. Education of the public regarding avoidance of behaviors such as drinking water from interactive fountains is also an important component of public health prevention efforts. ^

A community-based assessment of the spatiotemporal distribution of influenza in a U.S.-Mexico border county during the spring 2009 novel H1N1 swine-origin influenza A pandemic

This study retrospectively evaluated the spatial and temporal disease patterns associated with influenza-like illness (ILI), positive rapid influenza antigen detection tests (RIDT), and confirmed H1N1 S-OIV cases reported to the Cameron County Department of Health and Human Services between April 26 and May 13, 2009 using the space-time permutation scan statistic software SaTScan in conjunction with geographical information system (GIS) software ArcGIS 9.3. The rate and age-adjusted relative risk of each influenza measure was calculated and a cluster analysis was conducted to determine the geographic regions with statistically higher incidence of disease. A Poisson distribution model was developed to identify the effect that socioeconomic status, population density, and certain population attributes of a census block-group had on that area's frequency of S-OIV confirmed cases over the entire outbreak. Predominant among the spatiotemporal analyses of ILI, RIDT and S-OIV cases in Cameron County is the consistent pattern of a high concentration of cases along the southern border with Mexico. These findings in conjunction with the slight northward space-time shifts of ILI and RIDT cluster centers highlight the southern border as the primary site for public health interventions. Finally, the community-based multiple regression model revealed that three factors—percentage of the population under age 15, average household size, and the number of high school graduates over age 25—were significantly associated with laboratory-confirmed S-OIV in the Lower Rio Grande Valley. Together, these findings underscore the need for community-based surveillance, improve our understanding of the distribution of the burden of influenza within the community, and have implications for vaccination and community outreach initiatives.^

Assessing maintenance of evaporative cooling systems in Legionellosis outbreaks

Evaporative cooling systems continue to be associated with outbreaks of Legionnaires’ disease despite widely available maintenance guidelines intended to reduce these outbreaks. Yet, the guidelines vary widely regarding the recommendations that are made to maintain evaporative cooling systems and it is unclear whether guidelines were in place or, if they were, whether they were being followed when the outbreaks of Legionnaires’ disease occurred. Thus, this study was designed to conduct two systematic reviews of (1) evaporative cooling system maintenance guidelines; and (2) published Legionnaires’ disease outbreaks. For each maintenance guideline identified in the systematic review, recommended maintenance practices were abstracted and similarities and/or differences in the reported recommendations were assessed. Following the systematic review of outbreak investigations that meet the inclusion criteria established for the study, information about the state of the evaporative cooling system during the outbreak investigation was abstracted to summarize, when reported, which maintenance practices were implemented. As expected, the recommended maintenance procedures varied greatly across the guidelines and were not always specific. Overall, the outbreak investigations tended to report similar maintenance issues that were unclear in the maintenance guidelines. Generally, these maintenance issues were biocide use, microbiological testing, frequency of general inspections, and protocols and frequency of total system cleanings. The role in which non-standardized and generalized maintenance guidelines plays in the continued association between Legionnaires’ disease and evaporative cooling systems is still not fully understood. However, this study suggests that more specific and standardized maintenance guidelines, that have been scientifically established to be effective in controlling Legionella bacteria, are needed and then these guidelines must be properly implemented in order to help reduce further Legionnaires’ disease outbreaks associated with evaporative cooling systems.^

Predictive factors for vaginal douching and tampon use among US women: Are these behaviors risk factors for bacterial vaginosis and trichomonas?

The use of feminine products such as vaginal douches, tampons, and sanitary napkins are common among women. Despite the results of some studies that suggest an association between douching and bacterial vaginosis, douching remains a topic that is understudied. The possibility of an association between tampon use and infection has not been significantly investigated since the toxic shock outbreak in the 1980s. The first objective of our study was to evaluate demographic, reproductive health, and sexual behavior variables to establish an epidemiologic profile of menstruating women who reported douching and women who reported using sanitary napkins only. The second objective of our study was to evaluate whether the behaviors of douching and using tampons were associated with an increased risk of bacterial vaginosis or trichomonas. We analyzed these factors, using logistic regression, among the 3,174 women from the NHANES cross sectional data from 2001-2004, who met the inclusion criteria determined for our study. We established an epidemiologic profile for women who had the highest frequency of douching reported as women who were age 36-49, had a high school education or GED, black race, not taking oral contraceptives, reported vaginal symptoms in the last month, two or more sexual partners in the last year, or tested positive for bacterial vaginosis or trichomonas. The profile for those who had the highest frequency of exclusive sanitary napkin use included women with less than a high school education, married women, women classified as black or "other" in race, and women who were not on oral contraceptives. While we were able to establish a significant increase in the odds of douching among women who tested positive for bacterial vaginosis or trichomonas, we did not find any significant difference in the odds of exclusive napkin use and testing negative for bacterial vaginosis or trichomonas.^

Syndromic surveillance at a long term shelter for persons displaced by hurricanes Katrina and Rita conducted by the San Antonio Metropolitan Health District

Background. Beginning September 2, 2005, San Antonio area shelters received approximately 12,700 evacuees from Hurricane Katrina. Two weeks later, another 12,000 evacuees from Hurricane Rita arrived. By mid-October, 2005, the in-shelter population was 1,000 people. There was concern regarding the potential for spread of infectious diseases in the shelter. San Antonio Metropolitan Health District (SAMHD) established a syndromic surveillance system with Comprehensive Health Services (CHS) who provided on-site health care. CHS was in daily contact with SAMHD to report symptoms of concern until the shelter closed December 23, 2005. ^ Study type. The objective of this study was to assess the methods used and describe the practical considerations involved in establishing and managing a syndromic surveillance system, as established by the SAMHD in the long-term shelter clinic maintained by CHS for the hurricane evacuees. ^ Methods. Information and descriptive data used in this study was collected from multiple sources, primarily from the San Antonio Metropolitan Health District’s 2006 Report on Syndromic Surveillance of a Long-Term Shelter by Hausler & Rohr-Allegrini. SAMHD and CHS staff ensured that each clinic visit was recorded by date, demographic information, chief complaint and medical disposition. Logs were obtained daily and subsequently entered into a Microsoft Access database and analyzed in Excel. ^ Results. During a nine week period, 4,913 clinic visits were recorded, reviewed and later analyzed. Repeat visits comprised 93.0% of encounters. Chronic illnesses contributed to 21.7% of the visits. Approximately 54.0% were acute care encounters. Of all encounters, 17.3% had infectious disease potential as primarily gastrointestinal and respiratory syndromes. Evacuees accounted for 86% and staff 14% of all visits to the shelter clinic. There were 782 unduplicated individuals who sought services at the clinic, comprised of 63% (496) evacuees and 36% (278) staff members. Staff were more likely to frequent the clinic but for fewer visits each. ^ Conclusion. The presence of health care services and syndromic surveillance provided the opportunity to recognize, document and intervene in any disease outbreak at this long-term shelter. Constant vigilance allowed SAMHD to inform and reassure concerned people living and working in the shelter and living outside the shelter.^

Perinatal mortality and quality of care at the National Institute of Perinatology: A 3-year analysis

Quality of medical care has been indirectly assessed through the collection of negative outcomes. A preventable death is one that could have been avoided if optimum care had been offered. The general objective of the present project was to analyze the perinatal mortality at the National Institute of Perinatology (located in Mexico City) by social, biological and some available components of quality of care such as avoidability, provider responsibility, and structure and process deficiencies in the delivery of medical care. A Perinatal Mortality Committee data base was utilized. The study population consisted of all singleton perinatal deaths occurring between January 1, 1988 and June 30, 1991 (n = 522). A proportionate study was designed.^ The population studied mostly corresponded to married young adult mothers, who were residents of urban areas, with an educational level of junior high school or more, two to three pregnancies, and intermediate prenatal care. The mean gestational age at birth was 33.4 $\pm$ 3.9 completed weeks and the mean birthweight at birth was 1,791.9 $\pm$ 853.1 grams.^ Thirty-five percent of perinatal deaths were categorized as avoidable. Postnatal infection and premature rupture of membranes were the most frequent primary causes of avoidable perinatal death. The avoidable perinatal mortality rate was 8.7 per 1000 and significantly declined during the study period (p $<$.05). Preventable perinatal mortality aggregated data suggested that at least part of the mortality decline for amenable conditions was due to better medical care.^ Structure deficiencies were present in 35% of avoidable deaths and process deficiencies were present in 79%. Structure deficiencies remained constant over time. Process deficiencies consisted of diagnosis failures (45.8%) and treatment failures (87.3%), they also remained constant through the years. Party responsibility was as follows: Obstetric (35.4%), pediatric (41.4%), institutional (26.5%), and patient (6.6%). Obstetric responsibility significantly increased during the study period (p $<$.05). Pediatric responsibility declined only for newborns less than 1500 g (p $<$.05). Institutional responsibility remained constant.^ Process deficiencies increased the risk for an avoidable death eightfold (confidence interval 1.7-41.4, p $<$.01) and provider responsibility ninety-fivefold (confidence interval 14.8-612.1, p $<$.001), after adjustment for several confounding variables. Perinatal mortality due to prematurity, barotrauma and nosocomial infection, was highly preventable, but not that due to transpartum asphyxia. Once specific deficiencies in the quality of care have been identified, quality assurance actions should begin. ^