Predictability of unplanned extubations

Acute life threatening events such as cardiac/respiratory arrests are often predictable in adults and children. However critical events such as unplanned extubations are considered as not predictable. This paper seeks to evaluate the ability of automated prediction systems based on feature space embedding and time series methods to predict unplanned extubations in paediatric intensive care patients. We try to exploit the trends in the physiological signals such as Heart Rate, Respiratory Rate, Systolic Blood Pressure and Oxygen saturation levels in the blood using signal processing aspects of a frame-based approach of expanding signals using a nonorthogonal basis derived from the data. We investigate the significance of the trends in a computerised prediction system. The results are compared with clinical observations of predictability. We will conclude by investigating whether the prediction capability of the system could be exploited to prevent future unplanned extubations. © 2014 IEEE.

Diabetes in the very elderly:need for an individualised approach

Background: Intensive risk factor management is recommended for individuals with diabetes. However, it is not known if such an approach is appropriate in the elderly with multiple comorbidities and limited life expectancy. The aim of this study was to characterise a cohort of very elderly individuals with diabetes and assess the impact of known risk factors on mortality. Methods: This was a retrospective audit approved by the clinical audit lead. All patients aged >80 years who attended diabetes outpatient clinics 2 years prior to the date of the audit (April 2012) were identified from clinic records. A detailed history including demographics, comorbidities and treatment were collected. Blood pressure readings, HbA1c, cholesterol and renal function were extracted and the mean of these readings was recorded. Survival status at 2 years was recorded for all patients. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS19. Results: Data were available for 864 (381 male, 483 female) patients. The majority (75%) lived in their own home. More than 60% had multiple comorbidities and 25% had a prior history of cardiovascular disease. Two-thirds of the patients had more than one hospital admission in 2 years and a third had more than three admissions. 60% were on either insulin or a sulfonylurea. Mean HbA1c was 7.6%, cholesterol 4.2mmol/l, systolic blood pressure 145mmHg and eGFR 53ml/min. Over 2 years, 174 (20%)had died. Age, creatinine and previous coronary heart disease were significant predictors of death. Conclusion: The benefits of intensive diabetes management appear to be uncertain in very elderly patients. The need for intensive treatment must therefore be individualised to each patient.

Effects of commuting and mode of transportation on performance, affect, cardiovascular activity, and frustration tolerance

It was hypothesized that making a commute elevates blood pressure, causes negative affect, reduces frustration tolerance, and impairs performance on simple and complex cognitive tasks. This hypothesis was tested by varying choice and type of commute in an experiment in which 168 volunteers were randomly assigned to one of six experimental conditions. The behavior of subjects who drove 30 miles or rode on a bus for the same distance were compared with the reactions of students who did not commute. Multivariate analyses of variance indicated that subjects who made the commute showed lower frustration tolerance and deficits on complex cognitive task performance. Commuting also raised pulse and systolic blood pressure. Multivariate analyses of covariance (MANCOVA) were performed in an effort to identify physiological and emotional reactions that may mediate these relations. No mediational relationships were uncovered. ^

Prevalência da síndrome metabólica em receptores de transplante renal de acordo com o gênero e tempo pós-transplante /

Metabolic syndrome (MS) is defined as a set of cardiovascular risk factors including obesity, systemic high blood pressure (SHBP), changes in glucose metabolism and dyslipidemia. The prevalence of MS in renal transplant recipients (RTR) ranges from 15% to 65%, increasing the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and reducing renal allograft survival in the long term. The objectives of this study were to determine the prevalence and frequency of MS in renal transplant patients according to gender and time of transplantation and to evaluate renal function in patients with and without MS. Patients and Methods: Crosssectional study conducted from August 2012 to September 2013 involving 153 renal transplant recipients. MS was defined according to the National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP) Adult Treatment Panel III (ATP III). The sample was divided into two groups: patients with metabolic syndrome (WMS patients) and patients without metabolic syndrome (WoMS patients) and according to gender. The WMS patients were stratified into quartiles according to the renal transplantation period (RTP), and variables related to MS were analyzed for both sexes. Results: MS was diagnosed in 58.1% of the studied population, specifically in MS was found 58.4% of men and 41.6% of women (P ˂ 0.05). The male and female with MS were 48.8 ± 11.6 years old vs. 47.1 ± 12.7 years old and the time of post transplantation was 76.1 ± 76.5 months vs. 84.7 ± 65.4 months, respectively (P >0,05). When we compared the sexes in the WMS group, systolic blood pressure (SBP) was higher in men (137.0 ± 18.1 vs. 128.9 ± 13.6 mmHg, P= 0.029), while the other components of MS did not exhibit significant differences. With respect to renal function, when we compared the sexes in the WMS group, the serum creatinine (sCr) was higher in men (1.73 ± 0.69 vs. 1.31 ± 0.47 mg/dL, P= 0.0012), while the urinary protein/creatinine ratio was higher in women (0.48 ± 0.69 vs. 0.37 ± 0.48 mg/dL, P=0.0150). We found no significant difference in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) between WMS and WoMS patients for women and men (50.6 ± 19.1 vs. 50.1 ± 18.3 mL/min/1.73 m², P=0.909). We found a significant positive association between eGFR and HDL-c levels (r=0.3371; P=0.0145) for WMS men. The MS components showed no significant differences in RTP for different interquartile ranges, except for diastolic blood pressure (DBP) in women, where there was a significant variation among the quartiles evaluated (P=0.0009). Conclusion: the prevalence of MS was similar in the different quartiles in both sexes, in relation to time post TX. There was no significant difference in eGFR in patients WMS and WoMS, in both sexes. Concluding that the MS did not vary in relation to time post transplant.

Screening for albuminuria in diabetes:the need to do more

Aims: To reassess the utilisation rate of urinary albumin to creatinine ratio (ACR) screening in our centre; and the rate of repeat testing, where appropriate. To look at risk factors for albuminuria in our outpatient population. Methods: All patients attending one of our two weekly diabetes outpatient clinics in 2011–2012 were enrolled in this study. Demographic and relevant clinical data were extracted from electronic care records and analysed using SPSS 21. Results: Our study cohort comprised 998 people (51.4% men;59.6% White, 30.5% Southeast Asian, 9.9% Afro-Caribbean),most of whom had Type 2 diabetes (82.6%). The ACR testing rate in our centre was 62.8% (2012–2013 data; previously 62.4%). The incidence of initial albuminuria was 32.2% in women vs42.8% in men. Just 48.7% of patients (44.4% of women, 51.8% of men) with initial albuminuria were retested: 36.4% of women and 19.7% of men with initial albuminuria had no evidence of this on follow-up. Logistic regression modelling confirmed an association of high systolic blood pressure with albuminuria [odds ratio1.92 (1.01–3.70 in women, 1.08–3.57 in men)]. Treatment with anangiotens in converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEi) or angiotens in 2 receptor blocker (A2RB) was negatively associated with albuminuria in men [odds ratio 0.42 (0.20–0.89)], but not in women. Conclusions: A relatively high, albeit suboptimal, albuminuria screening rate in our outpatient population has been sustained.High systolic blood pressure was confirmed as a risk factor foralbuminuria. The incidence of albuminuria was higher in men, who had a lower rate of negative repeat testing and appeared to benefit more from ACEi/A2RB therapy. More rigorous screening for albuminuria is warranted to identify at-risk individuals.

Predicting 10-year risk of fatal cardiovascular disease in Germany: an update based on the SCORE-Deutschland Risk Charts

Estimation of absolute risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), preferably with population-specific risk charts, has become a cornerstone of CVD primary prevention. Regular recalibration of risk charts may be necessary due to decreasing CVD rates and CVD risk factor levels. The SCORE risk charts for fatal CVD risk assessment were first calibrated for Germany with 1998 risk factor level data and 1999 mortality statistics. We present an update of these risk charts based on the SCORE methodology including estimates of relative risks from SCORE, risk factor levels from the German Health Interview and Examination Survey for Adults 2008-11 (DEGS1) and official mortality statistics from 2012. Competing risks methods were applied and estimates were independently validated. Updated risk charts were calculated based on cholesterol, smoking, systolic blood pressure risk factor levels, sex and 5-year age-groups. The absolute 10-year risk estimates of fatal CVD were lower according to the updated risk charts compared to the first calibration for Germany. In a nationwide sample of 3062 adults aged 40-65 years free of major CVD from DEGS1, the mean 10-year risk of fatal CVD estimated by the updated charts was lower by 29% and the estimated proportion of high risk people (10-year risk > = 5%) by 50% compared to the older risk charts. This recalibration shows a need for regular updates of risk charts according to changes in mortality and risk factor levels in order to sustain the identification of people with a high CVD risk.

Imputing accelerometer non-wear time when assessing children's moderate-to-vigorous physical activity

BACKGROUND: Moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA) is an important determinant of children’s physical health, and is commonly measured using accelerometers. A major limitation of accelerometers is non-wear time, which is the time the participant did not wear their device. Given that non-wear time is traditionally discarded from the dataset prior to estimating MVPA, final estimates of MVPA may be biased. Therefore, alternate approaches should be explored. OBJECTIVES: The objectives of this thesis were to 1) develop and describe an imputation approach that uses the socio-demographic, time, health, and behavioural data from participants to replace non-wear time accelerometer data, 2) determine the extent to which imputation of non-wear time data influences estimates of MVPA, and 3) determine if imputation of non-wear time data influences the associations between MVPA, body mass index (BMI), and systolic blood pressure (SBP). METHODS: Seven days of accelerometer data were collected using Actical accelerometers from 332 children aged 10-13. Three methods for handling missing accelerometer data were compared: 1) the “non-imputed” method wherein non-wear time was deleted from the dataset, 2) imputation dataset I, wherein the imputation of MVPA during non-wear time was based upon socio-demographic factors of the participant (e.g., age), health information (e.g., BMI), and time characteristics of the non-wear period (e.g., season), and 3) imputation dataset II wherein the imputation of MVPA was based upon the same variables as imputation dataset I, plus organized sport information. Associations between MVPA and health outcomes in each method were assessed using linear regression. RESULTS: Non-wear time accounted for 7.5% of epochs during waking hours. The average minutes/day of MVPA was 56.8 (95% CI: 54.2, 59.5) in the non-imputed dataset, 58.4 (95% CI: 55.8, 61.0) in imputed dataset I, and 59.0 (95% CI: 56.3, 61.5) in imputed dataset II. Estimates between datasets were not significantly different. The strength of the relationship between MVPA with BMI and SBP were comparable between all three datasets. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that studies that achieve high accelerometer compliance with unsystematic patterns of missing data can use the traditional approach of deleting non-wear time from the dataset to obtain MVPA measures without substantial bias.

Importance of risk factor management in diabetic patients and reduction in Stage B heart failure

BACKGROUND: A number of studies have demonstrated the presence of a diabetic cardiomyopathy, increasing the risk of heart failure development in this population. Improvements in present-day risk factor control may have modified the risk of diabetes-associated cardiomyopathy.

AIM: We sought to determine the contemporary impact of diabetes mellitus (DM) on the prevalence of cardiomyopathy in at-risk patients with and without adjustment for risk factor control.

DESIGN: A cross-sectional study in a population at risk for heart failure.

METHODS: Those with diabetes were compared to those with other cardiovascular risk factors, unmatched, matched for age and gender and then matched for age, gender, body mass index, systolic blood pressure and low density lipoprotein cholesterol.

RESULTS: In total, 1399 patients enrolled in the St Vincent's Screening to Prevent Heart Failure (STOP-HF) cohort were included. About 543 participants had an established history of DM. In the whole sample, Stage B heart failure (asymptomatic cardiomyopathy) was not found more frequently among the diabetic cohort compared to those without diabetes [113 (20.8%) vs. 154 (18.0%), P = 0.22], even when matched for age and gender. When controlling for these risk factors and risk factor control Stage B was found to be more prevalent in those with diabetes [88 (22.2%)] compared to those without diabetes [65 (16.4%), P = 0.048].

CONCLUSION: In this cohort of patients with established risk factors for Stage B heart failure superior risk factor management among the diabetic population appears to dilute the independent diabetic insult to left ventricular structure and function, underlining the importance and benefit of effective risk factor control in this population on cardiovascular outcomes.

Can emerging biomarkers of myocardial remodelling identify asymptomatic hypertensive patients at risk for diastolic dysfunction and diastolic heart failure?

AIMS: Hypertension is one of the main drivers of the heart failure (HF) epidemic. The aims of this study were to profile fibro-inflammatory biomarkers across stages of the hypertensive heart disease (HHD) spectrum and to examine whether particular biochemical profiles in asymptomatic patients identify a higher risk of evolution to HF.

METHODS AND RESULTS: This was a cross-sectional observational study involving a population of 275 stable hypertensive patients divided into two different cohorts: Group 1, asymptomatic hypertension (AH) (n= 94); Group 2, HF with preserved ejection fraction (n= 181). Asymptomatic hypertension patients were further subdivided according to left atrial volume index ≥34 mL/m(2) (n= 30) and <34 mL/m(2) (n= 64). Study assays involved inflammatory markers [interleukin 6 (IL6), interleukin 8 (IL8), monocyte chemoattractant protein 1 (MCP1), and tumour necrosis factor α], collagen 1 and 3 metabolic markers [carboxy-terminal propeptide of collagen 1, amino-terminal propeptide of collagen 1, amino-terminal propeptide of collagen 3 (PIIINP), and carboxy-terminal telopeptide of collagen 1 (CITP)], extra-cellular matrix turnover markers [matrix metalloproteinase 2 (MMP2), matrix metalloproteinase 9 (MMP9), and tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase 1 (TIMP1)], and the brain natriuretic peptide. Data were adjusted for age, sex, systolic blood pressure, and creatinine. Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction was associated with an increased inflammatory signal (IL6, IL8, and MCP1), an increased fibrotic signal (PIIINP and CITP), and an increased matrix turnover signal (MMP2 and MMP9). Alterations in MMP and TIMP enzymes were found to be significant indicators of greater degrees of asymptomatic left ventricular diastolic dysfunction.

CONCLUSION: These data define varying fibro-inflammatory profiles throughout different stages of HHD. In particular, the observations on MMP9 and TIMP1 raise the possibility of earlier detection of those at risk of evolution to HF which may help focus effective preventative strategies.

External Validation of the ProACS Score for Risk Stratification of Patients with Acute Coronary Syndromes

INTRODUCTION: The ProACS risk score is an early and simple risk stratification score developed for all-cause in-hospital mortality in acute coronary syndromes (ACS) from a Portuguese nationwide ACS registry. Our center only recently participated in the registry and was not included in the cohort used for developing the score. Our objective was to perform an external validation of this risk score for short- and long-term follow-up. METHODS: Consecutive patients admitted to our center with ACS were included. Demographic and admission characteristics, as well as treatment and outcome data were collected. The ProACS risk score variables are age (≥72 years), systolic blood pressure (≤116 mmHg), Killip class (2/3 or 4) and ST-segment elevation. We calculated ProACS, Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) and Canada Acute Coronary Syndrome risk score (C-ACS) risk scores for each patient. RESULTS: A total of 3170 patients were included, with a mean age of 64±13 years, 62% with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction. All-cause in-hospital mortality was 5.7% and 10.3% at one-year follow-up. The ProACS risk score showed good discriminative ability for all considered outcomes (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve >0.75) and a good fit, similar to C-ACS, but lower than the GRACE risk score and slightly lower than in the original development cohort. The ProACS risk score provided good differentiation between patients at low, intermediate and high mortality risk in both short- and long-term follow-up (p<0.001 for all comparisons). CONCLUSIONS: The ProACS score is valid in external cohorts for risk stratification for ACS. It can be applied very early, at the first medical contact, but should subsequently be complemented by the GRACE risk score.

Efeito do café na pressão arterial em pessoas com hipertensão arterial

Contexto: A Hipertensão Arterial (HTA) é uma das principais causas de morte a nível mundial sendo urgente intervir nos seus fatores de risco como forma de prevenção e tratamento. A associação entre a ingestão de café e a HTA tem feito com que os profissionais de saúde o desaconselhem. Objetivo: Avaliar o efeito do consumo do café na Pressão Arterial (PA) sistólica e diastólica em pessoas adultas e idosas com HTA. Métodos: Foi realizada uma revisão sistemática da literatura com metanálise que obedeceu aos princípios propostos pelo Cochrane Handbook. A análise crítica, a extração e a síntese dos dados foi efetuada por dois investigadores isoladamente, a metanálise foi realizada com recurso ao software RevMan 5.3.5. Resultados: Foram incluídos três Ensaios Clínicos Randomizados (RCT) e dois estudos de coorte abrangendo 264 e 1919 indivíduos respetivamente. Os resultados da metanálise, que incluiu os RCT, indicam que a ingestão de café com Hidroxihidroquinona (HHQ) reduzida apresenta um efeito benéfico na PA sistólica (MD= -2.60; 95% Cl=-4.81, -0.39; p=0.02) e na PA diastólica (MD= -1.30; 95% Cl=-1.67, -0.93; p<0.01). Os restantes estudos demonstram que na população adulta com HTA o consumo de café não interfere com a PA, contudo o consumo de café superior a três chávenas por dia está associado ao risco de HTA. Nos indivíduos idosos com HTA a ingestão de café superior a três chávenas aumenta a PA e a possibilidade de PA descontrolada. Conclusões: Nos indivíduos com HTA é desaconselhado um consumo de café superior a três chávenas por dia. A ingestão de café com HHQ reduzida é aconselhada. Descritores: Café; Cafeína; Hipertensão; Pressão Arterial.

ROC curves of obesity indicators have a predictive value for children hypertension aged 7-17 years

Objective: The aim of the study is to examine the distribution of integrated covariate and its association with blood pressure (BP) among children in Anhui province, China, and assess the predictive value of integrated covariate to children hypertension. Methods: A total of 2,828 subjects (1,588 male and 1,240 female) aged 7-17 years participated in this study. Height, weight, waistline, hipline and BP of all subjects were measured, obesity and overweight were defined by an international standard, specifying the measurement, the reference population, and the age and sex specific cut off points. High BP status was defined as systolic blood pressure (SBP) and/or diastolic blood pressure (DBP) > 95th percentile for age and gender. Results: Our results revealed that the prevalence of children hypertension was 11.03%, the SBP and DBP of obesity group were significantly higher than that of normal group. Anthropometric obesity indices such as body mass index (BMI) were positively correlated with SBP and DBP. Integrated covariate had a better performance than the single covariate in the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the cut-off value; the sensitivity and the specificity of the integrated covariate were 0.112, 0.577, 0.683, respectively. Conclusion: Integrated covariate is a simple and effective anthropometric index to identify childhood hypertension.

Speeding stroke recovery? A systematic review of amphetamine after stroke

Introduction: The use of drugs to enhance recovery (“rehabilitation pharmacology”) has been assessed. Amphetamine can improve outcome in experimental models of stroke, and several small clinical trials have assessed its use in stroke. Methods: Electronic searches were performed to identify randomised controlled trials of amphetamine in stroke (ischaemic or haemorrhagic). Outcomes included functional outcome (assessed as combined death or disability/dependency), safety (death) and haemodynamic measures. Data were analysed as dichotomous or continuous outcomes, using odds ratios (OR), weighted or standardised mean difference, (WMD or SMD) using random-effects models with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI); statistical heterogeneity was assessed. Results: Eleven completed trials (n=329) were identified. Treatment with amphetamine was associated with non-significant trends to increased death (OR 2.78 (95% CI, 0.75– 10.23), n=329, 11 trials) and improved motor scores (WMD 3.28 (95% CI −0.48–7.04) n=257, 9 trials) but had no effect on the combined outcome of death and dependency (OR 1.15 (95% CI 0.65–2.06, n=206, 5 trials). Amphetamine increased systolic blood pressure (WMD 9.3 mmHg, 95% CI 3.3–15.3, n=106, 3 trials) and heart rate (WMD 7.6 beats per minute (bpm), 95% CI 1.8–13.4, n=106, 3 trials). Despite variations in treatment regimes, outcomes and follow-up duration there was no evidence of significant heterogeneity or publication bias. Conclusion: No evidence exists at present to support the use of amphetamine after stroke. Despite a trend to improved motor function, doubts remain over

Ratio of hemocomponents in massive transfusion and mortality of trauma patients in a university hospital

Background: Nowadays, there are very few studies about massive transfusion in our country. This situation generates the necessity to the elevation of possible new strategies to diminish mortality and its adverse effects. Material and methods: All massive transfusions were evaluated in a retrospective way from October 2010 to October 2012. All diagnosis groups were recorded and the patients were divided into three groups depending on the ratio between packed red blood cells (PRBC) and fresh frozen plasma (FFP) units (ratios ≤2, >2, and without FFP). Their mortality and/or survival were evaluated 30 days after as well as all the factors associated with the event. Results: A total of 69 patients were included (37 trauma patients, 28 gunshot wounds and 4 with lacerated wounds); the groups (ratios ≤2, >2, and no plasma at all) were distributed as follows: 30, 30 and 9 patients each, with an overall mortality rate of 60.8% within 30 days. A lower survival rate (12%) in the no plasma group (P=.015) was found and systolic blood pressure during transfusion had a mean of 67.7 mmHg (P=.012) in this group. Fresh frozen plasma units were 136 and 249 for >2 and ≤2 ratios respectively (P<.01); 85.5% of all patients developed metabolic acidosis during the transfusion, and the number of days in the hospital after the event had a mean of 24.5 days in all patients. Conclusions: High rates of massive transfusion mortality are still being reported in our ield. The use of transfusion strategies contribute to elevate the survival rate in patients with massive transfusion treatment

Frecuencia de hipertensión arterial en los adultos mayores de las parroquias urbanas de Cuenca-Ecuador, 2015

Introducción: A nivel mundial la población de adultos mayores se incrementa, Ecuador no se queda fuera de esta transición demográfica y así aumentan también todas las enfermedades asociadas con la edad, principalmente la hipertensión arterial. Objetivo: Determinar la frecuencia de hipertensión arterial en adultos mayores de las parroquias urbanas de la ciudad de Cuenca, 2015. Metodología: Se realizó un estudio descriptivo en una muestra de 378 adultos mayores. Fueron hipertensos aquellos pacientes que tengan dos tomas de presión arterial separadas como mínimo una semana en las cuales la presión arterial sistólica sea >o= a 140 mmHg y presión arterial diastólica >o= a 90 mmHg. Se clasificó según parámetros sociodemográficos, antecedentes familiares, estado nutricional y actividad física. El muestreo fue de las zonas censales de cada parroquia, se usó un muestreo aleatorio simple. Los datos fueron analizados en el programa SPSS versión 15.0, utilizando distribución de frecuencias, medidas de tendencia central: media y medidas de dispersión: desvió estándar. Resultados: la frecuencia de hipertensión arterial fue 52,5%. El 65,1% de hipertensos fueron mujeres y el 34.9% hombres. El 57,6% de hipertensos fueron estuvieron entre los 65 y 74 años. El 41,2% tenía instrucción primaria completa. El 76,4% no tenía una ocupación laboral. El 51,2% no tenía antecedentes familiares de HTA. El 40% realizaba actividad física moderada. El 41,9% presentó obesidad. Conclusión: la frecuencia de hipertensión arterial en los adultos mayores de las parroquias urbanas de la ciudad de Cuenca fue del 52,5%