Devices in heart failure: potential methods for device-based monitoring of congestive heart failure.

Congestive heart failure has long been one of the most serious medical conditions in the United States; in fact, in the United States alone, heart failure accounts for 6.5 million days of hospitalization each year. One important goal of heart-failure therapy is to inhibit the progression of congestive heart failure through pharmacologic and device-based therapies. Therefore, there have been efforts to develop device-based therapies aimed at improving cardiac reserve and optimizing pump function to meet metabolic requirements. The course of congestive heart failure is often worsened by other conditions, including new-onset arrhythmias, ischemia and infarction, valvulopathy, decompensation, end-organ damage, and therapeutic refractoriness, that have an impact on outcomes. The onset of such conditions is sometimes heralded by subtle pathophysiologic changes, and the timely identification of these changes may promote the use of preventive measures. Consequently, device-based methods could in the future have an important role in the timely identification of the subtle pathophysiologic changes associated with congestive heart failure.

Long-term gastrointestinal complications of Clostridium difficile associated diarrhea (CDAD)

Background. The incidence of Clostridium difficile -associated diarrhea (CDAD) is increasing worldwide likely because of increased use of broad spectrum antibiotics and the introduction of a clonal hyper-virulent strain called the BI strain. Short-term complications of CDAD include recurrent disease, requirement for colectomy, and persistent disease. However, data on the long-term consequences of CDAD are scarce. Among other infectious diseases (Shigella, Salmonella, and Campylobacter), long-term consequences such as irritable bowel syndrome (IBS), chronic dyspepsia/diarrhea, and other GI effects have been noted. Since the mechanism of action of these agents is similar to C.difficile, we hypothesized that patients with CDAD have greater likelihood of developing IBS and other functional gastrointestinal disorders (FGIDs) in the long-term as compared to a general sample of recently hospitalized patients. ^ Objective. To evaluate the long-term gastrointestinal complications of CDAD, (IBS, functional diarrhea, functional abdominal bloating, functional constipation and functional abdominal pain syndrome). ^ Methods. The current study was a secondary analysis of a previously completed observational case-control outcome study. Adult CDAD patients at St. Luke's Episcopal Hospital, Houston (SLEH) were followed up and interviewed by telephone six months after the initial diagnosis thereafter evaluated for the development of IBS and other FGIDs. A total of 46 patients with CDAD infection were recruited at SLEH between May-November 2007. The comparators were patients hospitalized in SLEH within one month before or after the admission of the reference case, hospital length of stay within one week longer or shorter than reference case, and age within 10 years more or less than the reference case. Cases and comparators were compared using Fisher's exact test. A p<0.05 was considered significant. ^ Results. Thirty CDAD patients responded to the questionnaires and were compared to 40 comparators. No comparator developed a FGID, while 3 (10%) CDAD patients developed new onset IBS (p=0.07), 4 (13.3%) developed new onset Functional Diarrhea (p=0.03), and 3 (10%) developed new onset Functional Constipation (p=0.07). No patient developed Functional Abdominal Bloating and Functional Abdominal Pain Syndrome. ^ Conclusion. In this study, new onset functional diarrhea was significantly more common in patients CDAD within six months after initial infection compared to matched controls.^

Early identification of symptomatic aortic stenosis using echocardiographic data

Background: Heart failure (CHF) is the most frequent and prognostically severe symptom of aortic stenosis (AS), and the most common indication for surgery. The mainstay of treatment for AS is aortic valve replacement (AVR), and the main indication for an AVR is development of symptomatic disease. ACC/AHA guidelines define severe AS as an aortic valve area (AVA) ≤1cm², but there is little data correlating echocardiogram AVA with the onset of symptomatic CHF. We evaluated the risk of developing CHF with progressively decreasing echocardiographic AVA. We also compared echocardiographic AVA with Jet velocity (V2) and indexed AVA (AVAI) to assess the best predictor of development of symptomatic CHF.^ Methods and Results: This retrospective cohort study evaluated 518 patients with asymptomatic moderate or severe AS from a single community based cardiology practice. A total of 925 echocardiograms were performed over an 11-year period. Each echocardiogram was correlated with concurrent clinical assessments while the investigator was blinded to the echocardiogram severity of AS. The Cox Proportional hazards model was used to analyze the relationship between AVA and the development of CHF. The median age of patients at entry was 76.1 years, with 54% males. A total of 116 patients (21.8%) developed new onset CHF during follow-up. Compared to patients with AVA >1.0cm², patients with lower AVA had an exponentially increasing risk of developing CHF for each 0.2cm² decrement in AVA, becoming statistically significant only at an AVA less than 0.8 cm². Also, compared to V2 and AVAI, AVA added more information to assessing risk for development of CHF (p=0.041). ^ Conclusion: In patients with normal or mildly impaired LVEF, the risk of CHF rises exponentially with decreasing valve area and becomes statistically significant after AVA falls below 0.8cm². AVA is a better predictor of CHF when compared to V2 or AVAI.^

Assessing the improved discriminatory power of a new biomarker in prognostic models

Although the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) is the most popular measure of the performance of prediction models, it has limitations, especially when it is used to evaluate the added discrimination of a new biomarker in the model. Pencina et al. (2008) proposed two indices, the net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), to supplement the improvement in the AUC (IAUC). Their NRI and IDI are based on binary outcomes in case-control settings, which do not involve time-to-event outcome. However, many disease outcomes are time-dependent and the onset time can be censored. Measuring discrimination potential of a prognostic marker without considering time to event can lead to biased estimates. In this dissertation, we have extended the NRI and IDI to survival analysis settings and derived the corresponding sample estimators and asymptotic tests. Simulation studies were conducted to compare the performance of the time-dependent NRI and IDI with Pencina’s NRI and IDI. For illustration, we have applied the proposed method to a breast cancer study.^ Key words: Prognostic model, Discrimination, Time-dependent NRI and IDI ^

Diabetic nephropathy in African-Americans with type 1 diabetes: The new Jersey 725 study

Diabetic nephropathy is the most common cause of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in the United States. African-Americans and patients with type 1 diabetes (T1D) are at increased risk. We studied the rate and factors that influenced progression of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) in 401 African-American T1D patients who were followed for 6 years through the observational cohort New Jersey 725 study. Patients with ESRD and/or GFR<20 ml/min were excluded. The mean (SD) baseline GFR was 106.8 (27.04) ml/min and it decreased by 13.8 (mean, SD 32.2) ml/min during the 6-year period (2.3 ml/min/year). In patients with baseline macroproteinuria, GFR decreased by 31.8 (39.0) ml/min (5.3 ml/min/year) compared to 8.2 (mean, SD 27.6) ml/min (1.3 ml/min/year) in patients without it (p<0.00001). Six-year GFR fell to <20 ml/min in 5.25% of all patients, but in 16.8% of macroproteinuric patients.^ A model including baseline GFR, proteinuria category and hypertension category, explained 35% of the 6-year GFR variability (p<0.0001). After adjustment for other variables in the model, 6-year GFR was 24.9 ml/min lower in macroproteinuric patients than in those without proteinuria (p=0.0001), and 12.6 ml/min lower in patients with treated but uncontrolled hypertension compared to normotensive patients (p=0.003). In this sample of patients, with an elevated mean glycosylated hemoglobin of 12.4%, glycemic control did not independently influence GFR deterioration, nor did BMI, cholesterol, gender, age at diabetes onset or socioeconomic level.^ Taken together, our findings suggest that proteinuria and hypertension are the most important factors associated with GFR deterioration in African-American T1D patients.^