BAYESIAN PHASE I DOSE FINDING IN CANCER TRIALS

This dissertation explores phase I dose-finding designs in cancer trials from three perspectives: the alternative Bayesian dose-escalation rules, a design based on a time-to-dose-limiting toxicity (DLT) model, and a design based on a discrete-time multi-state (DTMS) model. We list alternative Bayesian dose-escalation rules and perform a simulation study for the intra-rule and inter-rule comparisons based on two statistical models to identify the most appropriate rule under certain scenarios. We provide evidence that all the Bayesian rules outperform the traditional ``3+3'' design in the allocation of patients and selection of the maximum tolerated dose. The design based on a time-to-DLT model uses patients' DLT information over multiple treatment cycles in estimating the probability of DLT at the end of treatment cycle 1. Dose-escalation decisions are made whenever a cycle-1 DLT occurs, or two months after the previous check point. Compared to the design based on a logistic regression model, the new design shows more safety benefits for trials in which more late-onset toxicities are expected. As a trade-off, the new design requires more patients on average. The design based on a discrete-time multi-state (DTMS) model has three important attributes: (1) Toxicities are categorized over a distribution of severity levels, (2) Early toxicity may inform dose escalation, and (3) No suspension is required between accrual cohorts. The proposed model accounts for the difference in the importance of the toxicity severity levels and for transitions between toxicity levels. We compare the operating characteristics of the proposed design with those from a similar design based on a fully-evaluated model that directly models the maximum observed toxicity level within the patients' entire assessment window. We describe settings in which, under comparable power, the proposed design shortens the trial. The proposed design offers more benefit compared to the alternative design as patient accrual becomes slower.

CLINICAL TRIAL ENROLLMENT IN A MULTIDISCIPLINARY PROSTATE CANCER

Purpose: Clinical oncology trials are hampered by low accrual rates. Less than 5% of adult cancer patients are treated on a clinical trial. We aimed to evaluate clinical trial enrollment in our Multidisciplinary Prostate Cancer Clinic and to assess if a clinical trial initiative, introduced in 2006, increased our trial enrollment.Methods: Prostate cancer patients with non-metastatic disease who were seen in the clinic from 2004 to 2008 were included in the analysis. Men were categorized by whether they were seen before or after the clinical trial enrollment initiative started in 2006. The initiative included posting trial details in the clinic, educating patients about appropriate clinical trial options during the treatment recommendation discussion, and providing patients with documentation of trials offered to them. Univariate and multivariate (MVA) logistic regression analysis evaluated the impact of patient characteristics and the clinical trial initiative on clinical trial enrollment.Results: The majority of the 1,370 men were white (83%), and lived within the surrounding counties or state (69.4%). Median age was 64.2 years. Seventy-three point five percent enrolled in at least one trial and 28.5% enrolled in more than one trial. Sixty-seven percent enrolled in laboratory studies, 18% quality of life studies, 13% novel studies, and 3.7% procedural studies. On MVA, men seen in later years (p < 0.0001) were more likely to enroll in trials. The proportion of men enrolling increased from 38.9% to 84.3% (p<0.0001) after the clinical trial initiative. On MVA, older men (p < 0.0001) were less likely to enroll in clinical trials. There was a trend toward men in the high-risk group being more likely to participate in clinical trials (p = 0.056). There was a second trend for men of Hispanic, Asian, Native American and Indian decent being less likely to participate in clinical trials (p = 0.054).Conclusion: Clinical trial enrollment in the multidisciplinary clinic increased after introduction of a clinical trial initiative. Older men were less likely to enroll in trials. We speculate we achieved high enrollment rates because 1) specific trials are discussed at time of treatment recommendations, 2) we provide a letter documenting offered trials and 3) we introduce patients to the research team at the same clinic visit if they are interested in trial participation.

The role of MAPK during the activation of NK cells

Although many clinical trials investigated the use of IL-2, IL-12, and LAK in adoptive immunotherapy to treat cancer, only limited clinical success has been achieved. Better understanding of the intracellular processes that IL-2 and IL-12 utilize to generate LAK and other functions in NK cells is necessary to improve this mode of therapy. IL-2 and IL-12 stimulate extracellular signal-regulated protein kinase (ERK) and p38 MAPK in mitogen-activated T lymphocytes. The functional roles that these kinases play are still unclear. In this study, we examined whether MAPK Kinase (MKK)/ERK and/or p38 MAPK pathways are necessary for IL-2 or IL-12 to activate NK cells. We established that IL-2 activates MKK1/2/ERK pathway in freshly isolated human NK cells without any prior stimulation. Furthermore, we determined that an intact MKK/ERK pathway is necessary for IL-2 to activate NK cells to express at least four known biological responses: LAK activity, IFN-γ secretion, and CD25 and CD69 expression. Treatment of NK cells with a specific inhibitor of MKK1/2 PD98059, during the IL-2 stimulation blocked in a dose-dependent manner each of four activation parameters. Although activation of ERK was not detected in NK cells immediately after IL-12 stimulation, IL-12-induced functional activation was inhibited by the MKK1/2 inhibitor, as well. In contrast to what was observed by others in T lymphocytes, activation of p38 MAPK by IL-2 was not detected in NK cells. Additionally, a specific inhibitor of p38 MAPK (SB203850) did not inhibit IL-2-activated NK functions. These data reveal selective signaling differences between NK cells and T lymphocytes. Collectively, the data support that the MKK/ERK pathway plays a critical positive regulatory role in NK cells during activation by IL-2 and IL-12. ^

Mechanism of N-(4-hydroxyphenyl)retinamide (4HPR)-induced apoptosis in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma cells

4HPR is a synthetic retinoid that has shown chemopreventive and therapeutic efficacy against premalignant and malignant lesions including oral leukoplakia, ovarian and breast cancer and neuroblastoma in clinical trials. 4HPR induces growth inhibition and apoptosis in various cancer cells including head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) cells. 4HPR induces apoptosis by several mechanisms including increasing reactive oxygen species (ROS), or inducing mitochondrial permeability transition (MPT). 4HPR has also been shown to modulate the level of different proteins by transcriptional activation or posttranslational modification in various cellular contexts. However, the mechanism of its action is not fully elucidated. In this study, we explored the mechanism of 4HPR-induced apoptosis in HNSCC cells. ^ First, we identified proteins modulated by 4HPR by using proteomics approaches including: Powerblot western array and 2-dimensional polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis. We found that 4HPR modulated the levels of several proteins including c-Jun. Further analysis has shown that 4HPR induced activation of Activator Protein 1 (AP-1) components, c-Jun and ATF-2. We also found that 4HPR increased the level of Heat shock protein (Hsp) 70 and phosphorylation of Hsp27. ^ Second, we found that 4HPR induced prolonged activation of JNK, p38/MAPK and extracellular signal-regulated kinase (ERK). We also demonstrated that the activation of these kinases is required for 4HPR-induced apoptosis. JNK inhibitor SP600125 and siRNA against JNK1 and JNK2 suppressed, while overexpression of JNK1 enhanced 4HPR-induced apoptosis. p38/MAPK inhibitor PD169316 and MEK1/2 inhibitor PD98059 also suppressed 4HPR-induced apoptosis. We also demonstrated that activation of JNK, p38/MAPK and ERK is triggered by ROS generation induced by 4HPR. We also found that translation inhibitor, cycloheximide, suppressed 4HPR-induced apoptosis through inhibition of 4HPR-induced events (e.g. ROS generation, cytochrome c release, JNK activation and suppression of Akt). We also demonstrated that MPT is involved in 4HPR-induced apoptosis. ^ Third, we demonstrated the presence of NADPH oxidase in HNSCC 2B cells. We also found that 4HPR increased the level of the p67phox, a subunit of NADPH oxidase which participates in ROS production and apoptosis induced by 4HPR. ^ The novel insight into the mechanism by which 4HPR induces apoptosis can be used to improve design of future clinical studies with this synthetic retinoid in combination with specific MAPK modulators. ^

Hepatitis B vaccination of high risk pregnant women: A clinical trial at Parkland Memorial Hospital

Hepatitis B infection is a major public health problem of global proportions. It is estimated that 2 billion people worldwide are infected by the Hepatitis B virus (HBV) at some point, and 350 million are chronic carriers. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) report an incidence in the United States of 140,000–320,000 infections each year (asymptomatic and symptomatic), and estimate 1–1.25 million people are chronically infected. Hepatitis B and its chronic complications (cirrhosis of the liver, liver failure, hepatocellular carcinoma) responsible for 4,000–5,000 deaths in America each year. ^ One quarter of those who become chronic carriers develop progressive liver disease, and chronic HBV infection is thought to be responsible for 60 million cases of cirrhosis worldwide, surpassing alcohol as a cause of liver disease. Since there are few treatment options for the person chronically infected with Hepatitis B, and what is available is expensive, prevention is clearly best strategy for combating this disease. ^ Since the approval of the Hepatitis B vaccine in 1981, national and international vaccination campaigns have been undertaken for the prevention of Hepatitis B. Despite encouraging results, however, studies indicate that prevalence rates of Hepatitis B infection have not been significantly reduced in certain high risk populations because vaccination campaigns targeting those groups do not exist and opportunities for vaccination by individual physicians in clinical settings are often missed. Many of the high-risk individuals who go unvaccinated are women of childbearing age, and a significant proportion of these women become infected with the Hepatitis B virus (HBV) during pregnancy. Though these women are often seen annually or for prenatal care (because of the close spacing of their children and their high rate of fertility), the Hepatitis B vaccine series is seldom recommended by their health care provider. In 1993, ACOG issued a statement recommending Hepatitis B vaccination of pregnant women who were defined as high-risk by diagnosis of a sexually transmitted disease. ^ Hepatitis B vaccine has been extensively studied in the non-pregnant population. The overall efficacy of the vaccine in infants, children and adults is greater than 90%. In the small clinical trials to date, the vaccine seemed to be effective in those pregnant women receiving 3 doses; however, by using the usual 0, 1 and 6 month regimen, most pregnant women were unable to complete a full series during pregnancy. There is data now available supporting the use of an "accelerated" dosing schedule at 0, 1 and 4 months. This has not been evaluated in pregnant women. A clinical trial proving the efficacy of the 0, 1, 4 schedule and its feasibility in this population would add significantly to the body of research in this area, and would have implications for public health policy. Such a trial was undertaken in the Parkland Memorial Hospital Obstetrical Infectious Diseases clinic. In this study, the vaccine was very well tolerated with no major adverse events reported, 90% of fully vaccinated patients achieved immunity, and only Body Mass Index (BMI) was found to be a significant factor affecting efficacy. This thesis will report the results of the trial and compare it to previous trials, and will discuss barriers to implementation, lessons learned and implications for future trials. ^

A new fork for clinical application: Targeting forkhead transcription factors in cancer therapy

RAS-ERK-MAPK (Mitogen-activated protein kinase) pathway plays an essential role in proliferation, differentiation, and tumor progression. In this study, we showed that ERK downregulated FOXO3a through directly interacting with and phosphorylating FOXO3a at Serine 294, Serine 344, and Serine 425. ERK-phosphorylated FOXO3a was degraded by MDM2-mediated ubiquitin-proteosome pathway. FOXO3a phosphorylation and degradation consequently promoted cell proliferation and tumorigenesis. However, the non-phosphorylated FOXO3a mutant, which was resistant to the interaction and degradation by MDM2, resulted in inhibition of tumor formation. Forkhead O transcription factors (FOXOs) are important in the regulation of cellular functions including cell cycle arrest and cell death. Perturbation of FOXOs function leads to deregulated cell proliferation and cancer. Inactivation of FOXO proteins by activation of cell survival pathways, such as PI3K/AKT/IKK, is associated with tumorigenesis. Our study will further highlight FOXOs as new therapeutic targets in a broad spectrum of cancers. ^ Chemotherapeutic drug resistance is the most concerned problem in cancer therapy as resistance ultimately leads to treatment failure of cancer patients. In another study, we showed that blocking ERK activity with AZD6244, an established MEK1/2 inhibitor currently under human cancer clinical trials, enhances FOXO3a expression in various human cancer cell lines in vitro, and also in human colon cancer cell xenografts in vivo. Knocking down FOXO3a and its downstream gene Bim impaired AZD6244-induced growth suppression, whereas restoring activation of FOXO3a sensitized human cancer cell to AZD6244-induced growth arrest and apoptosis. More importantly, AZD6244-resistant cancer cells showed impaired endogenous FOXO3a nuclear translocation, reduced FOXO3a-Bim promoter association and significantly decreased Bim expression in response to AZD6244. AZD6244-resistant cancer cells can be sensitized to API-2 (an AKT inhibitor) and LY294002 (a PI3K inhibitor) in suppressing cell growth and colony formation, these inhibitors were known to enhance FOXO3a activity/nuclear translocation through inhibiting PI3K-AKT pathway. This study reveals novel molecular mechanism contributing to AZD6244-resistance through regulation of FOXO3a activity, further provides significant clinical implication of combining AZD6244 with PI3K/AKT inhibitors for sensitizing AZD6244-resistant cancer cells by activating FOXO3a. FOXO3a activation can be an essential pharmacological target and indicator to mediate and predict AZD6244 efficacy in clinical use. ^

Comparison of Bayesian and frequentist approaches in clinical outcomes between hospitals

Many public health agencies and researchers are interested in comparing hospital outcomes, for example, morbidity, mortality, and hospitalization across areas and hospitals. However, since there is variation of rates in clinical trials among hospitals because of several biases, we are interested in controlling for the bias and assessing real differences in clinical practices. In this study, we compared the variations between hospitals in rates of severe Intraventricular Haemorrhage (IVH) infant using Frequentist statistical approach vs. Bayesian hierarchical model through simulation study. The template data set for simulation study was included the number of severe IVH infants of 24 intensive care units in Australian and New Zealand Neonatal Network from 1995 to 1997 in severe IVH rate in preterm babies. We evaluated the rates of severe IVH for 24 hospitals with two hierarchical models in Bayesian approach comparing their performances with the shrunken rates in Frequentist method. Gamma-Poisson (BGP) and Beta-Binomial (BBB) were introduced into Bayesian model and the shrunken estimator of Gamma-Poisson (FGP) hierarchical model using maximum likelihood method were calculated as Frequentist approach. To simulate data, the total number of infants in each hospital was kept and we analyzed the simulated data for both Bayesian and Frequentist models with two true parameters for severe IVH rate. One was the observed rate and the other was the expected severe IVH rate by adjusting for five predictors variables for the template data. The bias in the rate of severe IVH infant estimated by both models showed that Bayesian models gave less variable estimates than Frequentist model. We also discussed and compared the results from three models to examine the variation in rate of severe IVH by 20th centile rates and avoidable number of severe IVH cases. ^

External validation study of a clinical prediction rule for ambulation outcomes after traumatic spinal cord injury

The main objective of this study was to determine the external validity of a clinical prediction rule developed by the European Multicenter Study on Human Spinal Cord Injury (EM-SCI) to predict the ambulation outcomes 12 months after traumatic spinal cord injury. Data from the North American Clinical Trials Network (NACTN) data registry with approximately 500 SCI cases were used for this validity study. The predictive accuracy of the EM-SCI prognostic model was evaluated using calibration and discrimination based on 231 NACTN cases. The area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve (ROC) curve was 0.927 (95% CI 0.894 – 0.959) for the EM-SCI model when applied to NACTN population. This is lower than the AUC of 0.956 (95% CI 0.936 – 0.976) reported for the EM-SCI population, but suggests that the EM-SCI clinical prediction rule distinguished well between those patients in the NACTN population who were able to achieve independent ambulation and those who did not achieve independent ambulation. The calibration curve suggests that higher the prediction score is, the better the probability of walking with the best prediction for AIS D patients. In conclusion, the EM-SCI clinical prediction rule was determined to be generalizable to the adult NACTN SCI population.^