Potential consequences of climate change for primary production and fish production in large marine ecosystems

Existing methods to predict the effects of climate change on the biomass and production of marine communities are predicated on modelling the interactions and dynamics of individual species, a very challenging approach when interactions and distributions are changing and little is known about the ecological mechanisms driving the responses of many species. An informative parallel approach is to develop size-based methods. These capture the properties of food webs that describe energy flux and production at a particular size, independent of species' ecology. We couple a physical-biogeochemical model with a dynamic, size-based food web model to predict the future effects of climate change on fish biomass and production in 11 large regional shelf seas, with and without fishing effects. Changes in potential fish production are shown to most strongly mirror changes in phytoplankton production. We project declines of 30-60% in potential fish production across some important areas of tropical shelf and upwelling seas, most notably in the eastern Indo-Pacific, the northern Humboldt and the North Canary Current. Conversely, in some areas of the high latitude shelf seas, the production of pelagic predators was projected to increase by 28-89%.

Growth and production of Pacific ocean perch (Sebastes alutus) in nursery habitats of the Gulf of Alaska

Nursery areas for juvenile fishes are often important for determining recruitment in marine populations by providing habitats that can maximize growth and thereby minimize mortality. Pacific ocean perch (POP, Sebastes alutus) have an extended juvenile period where they inhabit rocky nursery habitats. We examined POP nursery areas to link growth potential to recruitment. Juvenile POP were captured from nursery areas in 2004 and 2008, and estimated growth rates ranged from −0.19 to 0.60 g day−1 based on differences in size between June and August. Predicted growth rates from a bioenergetics model ranged from 0.05 to 0.49 g day−1 and were not significantly different than observed. Substrate preferences and the distribution of their preferred habitats were utilized to predict the extent of juvenile POP nursery habitat in the Gulf of Alaska. Based on densities of fish observed on underwater video transects and the spatial extent of nursery areas, we predicted 278 and 290 million juvenile POP were produced in 2004 and 2008. Growth potential for juvenile POP was reconstructed using the bioenergetics model, spring zooplankton bloom timing and duration and bottom water temperature for 1982–2008. When a single outlying recruitment year in 1986 was removed, growth potential experienced by juvenile POP in nursery areas was significantly correlated to the recruitment time-series from the stock assessment, explaining ∼30% of the variability. This research highlights the potential to predict recruitment using habitat-based methods and provides a potential mechanism for explaining some of the POP recruitment variability observed for this population.

Application of microarrays (phylochips) for analysis of community diversity by species identification

Abstract Molecular probe-based methods (Fluorescent in-situ hybridisation or FISH, Next Generation Sequencing or NGS) have proved successful in improving both the efficiency and accuracy of the identification of microorganisms, especially those that lack distinct morphological features, such as picoplankton. However, FISH methods have the major drawback that they can only identify one or just a few species at a time because of the reduced number of available fluorochromes that can be added to the probe. Although the length of sequence that can be obtained is continually improving, NGS still requires a great deal of handling time, its analysis time is still months and with a PCR step it will always be sensitive to natural enzyme inhibitors. With the use of DNA microarrays, it is possible to identify large numbers of taxa on a single-glass slide, the so-called phylochip, which can be semi-quantitative. This review details the major steps in probe design, design and production of a phylochip and validation of the array. Finally, major microarray studies in the phytoplankton community are reviewed to demonstrate the scope of the method.

Application of microarrays (phylochips) for analysis of community diversity by species identification

Abstract Molecular probe-based methods (Fluorescent in-situ hybridisation or FISH, Next Generation Sequencing or NGS) have proved successful in improving both the efficiency and accuracy of the identification of microorganisms, especially those that lack distinct morphological features, such as picoplankton. However, FISH methods have the major drawback that they can only identify one or just a few species at a time because of the reduced number of available fluorochromes that can be added to the probe. Although the length of sequence that can be obtained is continually improving, NGS still requires a great deal of handling time, its analysis time is still months and with a PCR step it will always be sensitive to natural enzyme inhibitors. With the use of DNA microarrays, it is possible to identify large numbers of taxa on a single-glass slide, the so-called phylochip, which can be semi-quantitative. This review details the major steps in probe design, design and production of a phylochip and validation of the array. Finally, major microarray studies in the phytoplankton community are reviewed to demonstrate the scope of the method.