Inattention in individual expectations


Autoria(s): Cordeiro, Yara de Almeida Campos
Contribuinte(s)

Issler, João Victor

Machado, Cecilia

Bonomo, Marco Antônio Cesar

Data(s)

12/06/2015

12/06/2015

01/04/2015

Resumo

This paper investigates the expectations formation process of economic agents about inflation rate. Using the Market Expectations System of Central Bank of Brazil, we perceive that agents do not update their forecasts every period and that even agents who update disagree in their predictions. We then focus on the two most popular types of inattention models that have been discussed in the recent literature: sticky-information and noisy-information models. Estimating a hybrid model we find that, although formally fitting the Brazilian data, it happens at the cost of a much higher degree of information rigidity than observed.

Identificador

http://hdl.handle.net/10438/13783

Idioma(s)

en_US

Palavras-Chave #Expectations #Inflation #Imperfect information #Rational inattention #Expectativas racionais (Teoria econômica) #Inflação #Previsão econômica #Modelos macroeconômicos
Tipo

Dissertation