Can book-to-market and size be risk factors that predict economic growth in Asia's emerging economies?


Autoria(s): Clements, Adam; Drew, Michael; Krpan, Ivan; Veeraraghavan, Madhu
Data(s)

2009

Resumo

We investigate whether the two 2 zero cost portfolios, SMB and HML, have the ability to predict economic growth for markets investigated in this paper. Our findings show that there are only a limited number of cases when the coefficients are positive and significance is achieved in an even more limited number of cases. Our results are in stark contrast to Liew and Vassalou (2000) who find coefficients to be generally positive and of a similar magnitude. We go a step further and also employ the methodology of Lakonishok, Shleifer and Vishny (1994) and once again fail to support the risk-based hypothesis of Liew and Vassalou (2000). In sum, we argue that search for a robust economic explanation for firm size and book-to-market equity effects needs sustained effort as these two zero cost portfolios do not represent economically relevant risk.

Formato

application/pdf

Identificador

http://eprints.qut.edu.au/32296/

Publicador

Indian Institute of Finance

Relação

http://eprints.qut.edu.au/32296/1/c32296.pdf

http://www.financeindia.org/ia.htm

Clements, Adam, Drew, Michael, Krpan, Ivan, & Veeraraghavan, Madhu (2009) Can book-to-market and size be risk factors that predict economic growth in Asia's emerging economies? Finance India, 23(4), pp. 1213-1230.

Direitos

Copyright 2009 Indian Institute of Finance

Fonte

QUT Business School; Faculty of Built Environment and Engineering; School of Economics & Finance; School of Urban Development

Palavras-Chave #140207 Financial Economics #Asset pricing #Economic growth #Size effect #Value effect
Tipo

Journal Article